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Why a Contested Democratic Convention Is Possible
Real Clear Politics ^ | No date | Ron Faucheux

Posted on 12/29/2019 3:02:59 AM PST by upchuck

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To: ctdonath2

I expect Killary would gladly kill to get the nomination.


21 posted on 12/29/2019 5:30:08 AM PST by upchuck (Democrats say the President is out of control. They mean the President is out of THEIR control.)
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To: kearnyirish2

Gary Johnson, Libertarian, received 3.3% of the national vote compared to Stein’s 1%. And NeverTrumper French received .5% of the vote.

Johnson received 3 million more votes than Stein. Don’t buy the Stein impact on the election. Who is to say the Stein voters would have voted for Hillary if Stein was not in the race or if they would have voted at all? Using similar logic, Johnson hurt Trump more than Stein hurt Hillary.


22 posted on 12/29/2019 5:40:23 AM PST by kabar
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To: kabar

NeverTrumper McMullen vice French


23 posted on 12/29/2019 5:43:59 AM PST by kabar
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To: kearnyirish2

It’s gonna be the wookie.


24 posted on 12/29/2019 5:47:53 AM PST by glorgau
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To: kabar

The impact of Stein was critical because of where those voters were; they were an important element in key states (like Ralph Nader in Florida in 2000). Johnson probably did hurt Trump; did his vote count surpass Trump’s margin of loss in any state?


25 posted on 12/29/2019 5:49:39 AM PST by kearnyirish2 (Affirmative action is economic warfare against white males (and therefore white families).)
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To: glorgau

She has no interest in public life, and no interest in having her college papers scrutinized; did you ever get the impression she relished her role the way Hillary did from 1992-2000?

She’s rich, and doesn’t have to work another day in her life; despite media proclamations, I’ve never met anyone (of any race/color) with a positive thing to say about her. I do hear plenty of people (of any race/color) say nice things about Oprah; not the same for Big Mike.


26 posted on 12/29/2019 5:52:08 AM PST by kearnyirish2 (Affirmative action is economic warfare against white males (and therefore white families).)
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To: kearnyirish2

Johnson offered an alternative to those that did not trust Trump to keep his campaign promises. Many were convinced that Trump would turn out to be just another leftist.

Now that Trump has proven himself to be reliable and Johnson is not running, the Libertarians will fall back to their sub 1% net of the votes.

Most of those that voted for Johnson will vote for Trump.


27 posted on 12/29/2019 5:53:01 AM PST by Erik Latranyi (The Democratic Party is communism)
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To: Erik Latranyi

I agree - and I also think some of those who voted for Hillary out of concerns that “Orange Man Bad” will be voting for Trump as well. Not only did his presidency turn out to be nothing like the nightmare painted by the libs and their media, but many people - especially naive, unprincipled ones - will vote solely based on their wallets.

This isn’t wishful thinking on my part (I don’t assume Trump is a shoe-in), but rather what I’m gathering from DEMS’ take on the upcoming race.


28 posted on 12/29/2019 5:57:01 AM PST by kearnyirish2 (Affirmative action is economic warfare against white males (and therefore white families).)
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To: kearnyirish2

> She’s rich, and doesn’t have to work another day in her life;

There MUST be somebody in power to continue the cover up. Hillary has the desire, but she probably doesn’t have the physical ability. There really is nobody else that has the name recognition and is entwined enough to be trusted to keep up the scam.

Thats how Chicago politics works - never deal with anybody that you don’t have something on. Think Lisa Madigan getting “elected” as Attorney General in Illinois. She was in there to keep a lid on things. You need somebody in the family.


29 posted on 12/29/2019 5:58:31 AM PST by glorgau
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To: glorgau

I understand what you are describing, but taking the House may have sufficed to accomplish this. Given the motley crew of Dem candidates today, I suspect serious Dems who want to be president are waiting for 2024. This same scenario played out in 1992 (with a surprise ending); BJ Clinton announced his candidacy when Bush I was very popular, and other Dems assumed he would win re-election. It would be hard to repeat that now, because the media that cost Bush I the election, and put Obama in twice, has been circumvented by Trump; he communicates directly with his base, and his support seems unshakeable with most of them.


30 posted on 12/29/2019 6:04:38 AM PST by kearnyirish2 (Affirmative action is economic warfare against white males (and therefore white families).)
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To: kearnyirish2

What states? Johnson got three times more votes than Stein received in the states of WI, MI, and PA.

Trump lost NH by 3,000 votes. Johnson received 30K votes in NH.

Trump lost MN by 44K. Johnson received 113K and McMullen 53K.

Trump lost NM by 65K. Johnson received 75K and McMullen received 6K.

Trump lost NV by 27K. Johnson received 37K.


31 posted on 12/29/2019 6:05:37 AM PST by kabar
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To: Liz
...must be a few “waiting in the wings”...

To come flying in with a tablecloth for a cape.

32 posted on 12/29/2019 6:08:01 AM PST by VRW Conspirator (NuRulz)
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To: upchuck

contested convention is always possible and highly unlikely ever because conventions are controlled by the DNC and RNC, the Republicans to a lesser extent. If there is a “contest” it will be orchestrated as a show that produces the DNC’s annointed. We will know who the winner will be before the fireworks video.


33 posted on 12/29/2019 6:08:56 AM PST by arthurus (sdff///.)
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To: kabar

Then that is the answer; he didn’t hurt Trump in WI, MI, and PA, and he did in NH, MN, NM, and NV.

Am I understanding that correctly?

Now how many people who voted for Johnson won’t vote for Trump now, and how many who voted for Stein WOULD vote for Hillary now?


34 posted on 12/29/2019 6:10:32 AM PST by kearnyirish2 (Affirmative action is economic warfare against white males (and therefore white families).)
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To: kearnyirish2
I agree; Hillary is toast. Not only was she unpopular with swing voters, but the big donors handed her an election with 24/7/365 media control and she still lost. I can’t recall the last time I even saw her stand up; she’s done.

This is too sensible to deny. Hillary: she couldn't, she can't.
As to Michelle Obama, somebody's wife as a last-minute switch is not unknown but it won't go over well on the presidential level. She'd be a token of her husband and a puppet of the Deep State. Right now she's rich and famous and living it up. Case closed.
I believe (subject to change!) the Dems know they are going to lose unless they can crash the economy and/or destroy DJT. They know it, therefore it doesn't matter who steps up to lose. But by November, something might go their way and then they need the most unobjectionable candidate. That is Biden. He can sway a few more voters where it counts (Rust Belt), as socialists cannot. Besides, he's so old, he's disposable, whereas Warren is still young enough to run again. And she's not all that popular. True, Biden has a lot of baggage (yet to be unpacked), but he's a better liar than Warren. Plus he'll take whatever running mate they tell him to take.

In the end, Trump has a 90+ percent chance of winning and will probably have it on Super Tuesday, so they'll play their deuce. Old Cracked Joe.

35 posted on 12/29/2019 6:11:51 AM PST by Buttons12
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To: Buttons12

Biden has the least to lose by running at this point; he is an older guy, and the corruption involving his son would probably be more widely known by 2024.


36 posted on 12/29/2019 6:19:38 AM PST by kearnyirish2 (Affirmative action is economic warfare against white males (and therefore white families).)
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To: kearnyirish2

All the forecasts made when Trump was elected were negative.....economy will crash, stock market will crash, he will start wars over his ego, he might use nuclear weapons when insulted, etc, etc, etc.

The FACT is that Trump has kept his campaign promises and did exactly what he said he was going to do....within the bounds of the constitution....and that will win him many votes.

Additionally, Trump’s approval among minorities is massive and what really scares the communist party. Even if they do not come out and vote for Trump, they will stay home and not for the selected communist either.


37 posted on 12/29/2019 6:26:38 AM PST by Erik Latranyi (The Democratic Party is communism)
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To: Erik Latranyi

True.

I wish more had been done on the illegal immigrant issue (nothing improved here in NJ/NYC metro area), and wages had risen visibly for workers.


38 posted on 12/29/2019 6:40:58 AM PST by kearnyirish2 (Affirmative action is economic warfare against white males (and therefore white families).)
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To: kearnyirish2
Biden has the least to lose by running at this point; he is an older guy, and the corruption involving his son would probably be more widely known by 2024.

At which point they won't talk about it due to that thing about speaking ill of the departed.

39 posted on 12/29/2019 6:42:54 AM PST by Buttons12
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To: upchuck

Cannot understand the Dem candidates who dropped out before 1 vote was counted. Even Kammy Harris could have stayed in and not campaigned or spent any money.


40 posted on 12/29/2019 6:47:05 AM PST by EC Washington
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