Trump got 8% of the black vote in 2016. It would be a roaring success if he got 11% or 12% in 2020. Let’s not kid ourselves here people.
Exactly. Trump may well improve on the 13% of the black male vote, but improvement in the 4% of the black female vote is pretty much dead in the water.
Let me make a prediction. President Trump will receive 28% of the black vote. Mark my words.
I think there may be more or less swing depending on the Dem ticket; when Deval Patrick entered the race, I assumed he just wanted to be someone’s VP pick - because they have to have a black face on that ticket.