[ealgeone]

IF the black vote goes anything north of 15% for Trump 2020 is a landslide win.

The other key vote will be the Roman Catholic vote.

Historically it has gone to the democrat candidate more than the gop-e candidate.

IIRC only four times since 1952 has the Roman Catholic vote gone to the gop-e candidate.

IF those two demographics support Trump the race is over.

[Dave W]

Trump won't get 15% of the black vote. How many threads were posted in 2018 bragging about how many blacks will vote for the republican candidate in support of Trump. There were hundreds if not thousands of threads.

There were all wrong.

Based on the article above, Trump may get as little as 7% if you take into account the margin of error.

In addition, we are lectured all the time here to not believe polls, but we seem to have a weakness when polls show what we want to believe.

I assume Trump will receive more than 8% in 2020, but not much more. W received 11% I believe, and that sounds about right.

[cnsmom]

Every Catholic I know under 80 years old IS PRO trump.