Very interesting and completely plausible read.
I highly recommend that all who haven’t read it now. A couple of times for good measure.
Look at his points, they don't seem like anything a Dem House member would lose sleep over:
1. Losing Control Of the Process
But over there in the House they have vicious, mad-dog ideologues running the process, with no sense of fair play. Schiff, Nadler, Pelosi, etc. In the Senate you have nice guys who play fair like Lindsey and Mitch. I'm sure the Senate rules if it goes to trial will be fair.
I have even heard suggested that there will be a motion to have the Impeachment judged by a "panel" of the Senate, not the whole Senate. This to accommodate the five Senators running to replace Trump. Under this scenario a "bi-partisan" panel of 12 would be appointed, and only 9 would need to vote to remove under this scenario.
Maybe this is fanciful, but it's interesting that I've already heard more about plausible Democratic plans to use the Senate effectively than vice-versa.
2. Oh Hi, Hunter Biden. Maybe. But it's more likely that Mitch plays it straight down the middle and the trial is circumscribed as to evidence to only that directly supporting or disproving the articles, not a larger goat-rodeo about everything that happened vis-a-via the Ukraine.
3. Senators On The Trail
Yes, January is inconvenient. New Hampshire's pretty close to DC though. And the five running for POTUS will skip the hearings and just show up to vote. Which the committees will bend over backward to accommodate
4. Republican Unity
It would be good if it existed. The Kavanaugh hearings are offered as an example, but it was a near thing that almost work.
5. The Odds Of Winning Are Not Good
I agree, But, so what. So they Dems in the House can "only" do what was done to Clinton. That's gonna be plenty for use in their propaganda, which is the main function of this fake impeachment.
*****
I suspect most Democrats feel the odds of getting something of value from the Impeachment far out weigh the risks, and they are probably right about that, given the dispositions of the players involved.