“good and fine as long as Texas as a whole remains Republican”
Rep/Dem presidential candidate
1988 55/43
1992 40/37
1996 48/43
2000 59/37
2004 61/38
2008 55/43
2012 57/41
2016 52/43
Republican won by 12, 3, 5, 12, 23, 12, 16, 9. Toss out the high and low, and the average is around 12, which is uncomfortable.
And then, demographics...
(Nevertheless, we’d all rather be in Texas than in CA.)
Thanks for the numbers, very interesting. One thing here in Texas about Hispanics is that they often vote Republican 40% (sometimes a bit more), assuming exit polling is accurate. By voting that strongly Republican, it will take decades for them to flip the outcomes.
As to 2016, don’t forget the Cruz/Trump dust-up - that left some bad blood towards both of them, so the 9 points probably would have been closer to the 12 point average, had Cruz simply supported Trump (and that shouldn’t have been very difficult for the ‘Constitutional Conservative’ to figure out).
So, discounting 2016, it’s tough to say there’s really a Democrat trend. Hell, we nearly voted in favor of Bill Clinton - TWICE! And back then, the Hispanic vote was a much lower percentage than now.
The key, as I’ve noted on my home page, is that Republicans consolidate the white vote...if they can do that, it gets very, very, hard for Democrats to win anything! That’s why the Dems cry RACISM and WHITE NATIONALISM the moment any white candidate starts going in that direction. Trump didn’t care, since he’s called everything, anyway, and then we saw the results of that strategy in PA, MI, WI, and nearly MN and NH too.