Posted on 10/23/2019 6:23:38 AM PDT by Liz
Despite shrinking approval ratings, President Trump has expanded his base to include union workers, Hispanics, suburban and urban voters, and is ahead or tied with all the leading Democratic presidential candidates, according to a new national survey.
In the latest Zogby Analytics poll, Trump is beating Sens. Bernie Sanders and Kamala Harris, former Vice President Joe Biden, South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg, and is in a dead heat with Sen. Elizabeth Warren.
The survey said that the president has expanded his base and it found that despite a wave of negative media about the direction of the country, most Americans feel that the United States is an “exceptional country.”
In the survey shared with Secrets, the 2020 race shows Trump still in the driver’s seat:
Trump 47%-Biden 45% Trump 46%-Sanders 44% Trump 45%-Warren 45% Trump 47%-Harris 41% Trump 49%-Buttigieg 38% While Trump’s advantages in next year’s election are slightly different in the head-to-heads with each candidate, they closely follow his lead with Biden, as explained by pollster Jonathan Zogby.
Trump touts oil boom as he tries to turn New Mexico red
Watch Full Screen to Skip Ads According to his analysis, “The reason President Trump is winning, barely, in a hypothetical match-up with the former vice president, Joe Biden, is that, in addition to winning with his normal base of men (Trump leads 54% to 39%), white voters (Trump leads 53% to 40%), union voters (Trump leads 62% to 32%), and southern voters (Trump leads 50% to 43%), Trump has also tightened the race with Independents (Biden leads 42% to 36%), suburban voters (Biden leads 49% to 43%), and Hispanics (Biden leads 47% to 43%). Trump is also beating Biden convincingly with two demographics he has recently made inroads with: large city voters (Trump leads 50% to 44%) and Generation X voters age 30-49 (Trump leads 49% to 41%).”
Trump has his biggest lead against Buttigieg. Zogby said that “Mayor Pete” hasn’t established himself as a crossover candidate yet, and despite being openly gay, he is not the runaway favorite among LGBT voters.
Said Zogby, “It doesn't appear that Mayor Pete has cross-over appeal, yet. While Biden, Sanders, Harris and Warren did much better with moderates, Buttigieg struggled as he only beat Trump 43% to 38%. He also did not do great among LGBQT likely voters; Trump received 43% support, while Buttigieg received 45%. Trump's number among LGBQT voters, against Buttigieg, was the highest among all the Democratic match-ups.”
One hopeful sign for Trump is that voters still believe that America is exceptional and they may be giving him credit.
A “strong majority” of 60% think the U.S. is an exceptional country, 28% believe it is “average,” and 9% think it is “below average.”
Seriously, how could any sane American not like Trump and be rooting for him. It is like Trump vs. all the forces of EVIL in this country. Every malcontent, every freak, every Communist agitator, all the Deep State, all the thoroughly corrupt MSM... vs. Trump.
Trump is going to crush it in 2020.
The Democrats just can’t see they are facing down, and making enemies of the bulk of the Adult US clear thinking adults?
Look at the five key Trump ‘elements’. First, he’ll have near a billion dollars in campaign funds (an all-time record) by spring of 2020, and some think it might get close to 1.5 billion by the election. Give thanks for the Democrats for their impeachment chatter.
Second, he’ll likely attach himself and campaign funds to districts, and help lift a hundred GOP candidates into what is Democratic-held districts presently. Third, black male voters for Trump will cross over the 40-percent range. Fourth, Latino voters for Trump may be double of what he got in 2016. Finally, the economy is on ‘fire’...my home-town of Huntsville, Alabama has a unemployment rate of 2.3-percent. If you just get your 6th-grade cousin to write your resume, put on clean clothing, and show up drug-free for a interview....you can get a job locally.
WHO ARE ALL THOSE EXUBERANT CHEERING PEOPLE AT TRUMP RALLIES ?
Brad Parscale, Trump’s campaign manager, tweeted these amazing stats gleaned from Trump’s recent Dallas rally.
53,985 voters identified
12% have not voted in the last 4 elections
21.4% Democrat
11% Latino
These are winning numbers that will help win #FourMoreYears for @realDonaldTrump!
We continue to outperform 2016, Parscale tweeted.
NOTE: Trump is raising huge amts of campaign cash online with one simple sentence: “Help us fight Democrat impeachment.”
On-the-ground-reports in Dallas say Parscale’s team was canvassing the crowds waiting in line, registering voters, and handing out forms that were collected later to crunch the numbers.
Parscale is getting fantastic data-——although 53,985 voters were identified in Dallas, eyewitnesses say many more forms were handed out. So the pro-Trump numbers are probably even better than what we’re seeing.
Parscale addressed the Trump crowd earlier and mentioned a “Trump Survey” smart phone app.
Trumpers get all notifications AND all emails from campaign HDQ.
One Trumper reported he received the poll ones twice. but answered both on the same exact topic so as not to skip anything important.
WARNING: One Trumper reported his mobile cell phone provider had been Jacked by Deep State. Deep State has connected a bypass to their internet portal and he Can Not Get A Trump Survey to work on his Smart Phone. The Error is ACCESS FORBIDDEN.
NOTE You can take the Trump Survey on your home computer.
The polls always lie to distort and dishearten us, can you imagine by how much POTUS is really beating the RATs?
The real number must be very impressive.
Wow. Fascinating. I had not seen that. Thanks. Totally credible.
What a silly first sentence in the article.
It says that even though less people like him he is gaining more followers.
Do they even read their own stop?
DUH!!!!
Just like I tried to get people to grasp that Trump was going to win HANDILY in 2016, I have been stating this obvious reality for a long time....
Those that don’t or refuse to grasp this, do not understand how or why Trump won in 2016.
Trump won by attracting disenfranchised voters, and a good number of former life long D voters.
He didn’t get all of them, not by a long shot, because many fell to the fear mongering of the Hillary campaign, or because they believed Trump was just another Politician making empty promises...
Now in 2020, with a track record behind him, not only will all those previous voters show up, but all those that were scared by the lies spread by Hillary, and those who just stayed home thing Trump was blowing hot air, are going to show up this time as well..
Trump is going to score a HUGE HUGE win in 2020. Its not even going to be close folks. Absolute BEST case for the Dems would be 15 or so states plus DC... regardless of who they nominate... and if they put up a Warren or a Sanders or some other far left nutter, they likely won’t even see 10 states plus DC.
The POLLS will show it tighter than it ever will be, because just like in 16, they will be biased, but more importantly, they will filter out all these disenfranchised voters who are going to come out of the woodwork, because in polling world, if you haven’t voted in the last 2 elections, you are considered an “UNLIKELY” voter. So even if the pollsters manage to get ahold of MR LIFE LONG Democrat in Central PA, and poll him, his answers will be filtered out, because his party left him decades ago, and the GOP gave him no reason to vote for them... So he just sat out.
Lots of those people didn’t sit out 16, and lots more of them wont sit out 20.... And the polling will once again MISS THEM ENTIRELY.
You can bet the bank that Trump will outperform polling, almost everywhere, thanks to this reality. So if he is up in the polls, its even worse than the polls will show for the Dems.
Short of an economic meltdown, or some other black swan event between now and next November, there is no path for any democrat to the White House... their best hope is to hold the house... and frankly with Trump on the ballot, I would say odds are at best 50/50 they manage that.
Trump is raising millions online with one simple sentence: "Help us defeat impeachment."
Excellent point.
I don't believe the polls when they are bad, and I don't believe them when they are good.
I think that if you factor in kalifornikator and its 11% bump, you have to always add 5-7% to Trumps national numbers.
When they sample 1,000 voters and the first 110 go to kalifornikator, the poll is already weighted for the demonRATs without real cheating...they will get to that later.
Amen.
Great comment!
PONDER THIS FROM THE (gag) "PARTY OF THE PEOPLE:"
Joe Biden’s war chest of $8.9 million was a small fraction of what his Democrat rivals have on hand.
But Biden's spending like there's no tomorrow, FEC data shows. Biden's lavish expenses include:
<><> $924,000 for private jets, about one out of every $16 raised
<><> taking in $15.7M BUT spending $17.6M during that same period.
<><> more than $20,000 at the luxury Carlyle Hotel in Manhattan;
<><> more than $14,000 at the Coronado Island Marriott in San Diego —
<><> more than $10,500 at the W Hotel in Los Angeles,
<><> big buck$ at other high-end hotels.
<><> almost $9M on payroll,
<><> $228,378 on "research consultants" and $150,400 on “strategic consultants.”
QUESTION How does a "party of the people" candidate spend $17.6M during the same period he took in $15.7M?
I guess only Hunter Biden knows ...cackle.
As for Hunter, they are desperately trying to portray him as a "victim." Voting America is having none of it.
Outside of Democrats' blue enclaves of wanton perversion, Hunter is seen, not as a victim, but as a cocaine-addicted
womanizer, exploiting his political connections, riding the fast lane, living large off his White Privilege.
but Bernie said AOC will be part of his Administration , I thought that would make him President before the Election ,LOL
True! Who can argue with the watchwords "Make America Great!"? Only those who do not want America to be great.
And what American would not want America to be great? Only those who hate America and want her to be destroyed.
It's frightening that the Democrats are in panic. They are desperate because they know that President Trump is going to be re-elected in a landslide victory and that he will shine the Light of Truth on them and all their actions. They can not allow this exposure.
They are cornered, desperate, ruthless, and dangerous.
NOTHING is beneath them.
They will destroy the entire United States of America without qualm or hesitation to prevent their exposure and loss of power.
America is locked in a Manichaean fight between the Forces of Evil and the Forces of Good. President Trump has championed the Forces of Good.
Only the American People can determine the outcome.
Pray that the American People side with the Forces of Good.
ELECTORAL VOTE ANALYSIS---A 2020 projection where Trump wins re-election handily (via The Hill):
President Trump appears likely to win reelection next year, according to three different economic models Moody’s Analytics uses to measure presidential contests. Moody’s modeling, which has only missed on one presidential election since 1980, found that Trump, who won by a 304-227 margin in the Electoral College in 2016, could easily surpass those results in 2020......the 2020 projection by pollster Mark Zandi looks very bad for Democrats.
The three different models showed Trump winning either 289, 332 or 351 votes in the Electoral College over his eventual opponent. The projections are based on how consumers feel about their financial situations, stock market gains achieved under Trump and the prospects for unemployment.
“If the economy a year from now is the same as it is today, or roughly so, then the power of incumbency is strong and Trump’s election odds are very good, particularly if Democrats aren’t enthusiastic and don’t get out to vote,” Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics and co-author of the paper, told CNBC. “It’s about turnout.”
Of the three models, Trump performs best under the “pocketbook” measure, which gauges how people feel about their finances.
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