If the 2020 TURNOUT model is:
Dem 40%
Rep 35%
Ind 25%
and the vote goes Trump 20% of D, 94% of R and 60% of I the final result will be Trump 56-44 Landslide.
*Even granting the rats a higher turnout than republicans, Trump wins easily with heavy R support. This explains the strategy of motivating his base.
One final thought. The 94% approval number that Kabar mentions is magic to the Trump campaign and it explains the all out push by the left to take the President down now by any means possible. The problem for them is that the more they talk impeachment, the more support stiffens for Trump.