Predict averages on OurCampaigns still has Bevin 51-48% over Beshear. I think he’ll get that. Cameron may get 60% for AG. I’m gonna be optimistic.
Pres. Trump absolutely needs to do a barnstorming tour for the KY candidates the week of the election and for Rispone down in LA to help him take out Edwards.
I’m going with 53% - 46% for Bevin. The President’s rally should bump the GOP turnout. In the SOS race I’m afraid that Heather French Henry will prevail simply because of her celebrity status not remembering things like her taxpayer funded wedding. Otherwise Michael Adams would if up against someone non-celebrity that is a household name like Henry - the only way is if the GOP turnout simply swamps the turnout of the Democrats she gets pulled down stream and loses in a narrow upset - this I believe will be the Democrats’ only victory on the ballot. Daniel Cameron I believe wins 55% - 45% over Stumbo in the AG race. Allison Ball I believe will be re-elected as Treasurer 60% - 40%. Mike Harmon I believe wins re-election as auditor 55%-45%. Ryan Quarles (who at one time was the youngest elected statewide official at the country at 31 - he is now 35 going for his second term) throughout his entire 4 years as Agriculture Commissioner has done amazingly well with PR to make this relatively obscure office very well known...would not be surprised if he were to get 70% of the vote though I will predict 65% - 35% - if he were to get any less than 60% it would be a shock. I believe Quarles will probably be looking at the governor’s mansion after Bevin’s second term - but he’s probably not the only one, I’m sure. One problem with this bench of very young and successful candidates is that eventually they will be running against each other most likely.
Age of candidates:
Matt Bevin - 52
Ralph Alvarado - 49
Michael Adams - 43
Daniel Cameron - 33
Mike Harmon - 52
Allison Ball - 38
Ryan Quarles - 35