I especially like this graphic:
-PJ
Posted on 10/10/2019 1:19:00 PM PDT by Political Junkie Too
The recent Fox News polls showing 51% of the American people supporting impeachment is clearly skewed with an outrageous 48% Democrats sample. But despite that, what else does this poll have to say?
Let's find out.
First, the impeachment question...
48. Do you think President Trump should be impeached and removed from office, or not?
| Dem | Rep | Ind | White | Black | Hispanic | Men | Women | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 85 | 13 | 39 | 44 | 76 | 64 | 44 | 57 |
| No | 9 | 82 | 47 | 50 | 15 | 29 | 51 | 36 |
| Spread | +76 | -69 | -8 | -6 | +61 | +35 | -7 | +21 |
NOTE: Independents do not support impeachment.
50+. Various impeachment opinions.
Higher score is worse.
| Opinion | Dem | Rep | Ind | White | Black | Hispanic | Men | Women |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Call to Ukraine President, impeachable minus inappropriate or okay |
+58 | -65 | -19 | -9 | +38 | +12 | -15 | +13 |
| Ask foreign leaders to investigate rivals, inappropriate minus appropriate |
+79 | -6 | +43 | +34 | +73 | +48 | +32 | +48 |
| Congressional Democrats believe impeachable minus just want to hurt Trump |
+69 | -70 | -16 | -9 | +51 | +23 | -12 | +16 |
| Congressional Republicans protect Trump minus believe not impeachable |
+74 | -35 | +12 | +14 | +55 | +36 | +13 | +32 |
| Trump doing what's best for him minus doing what's best for country |
+79 | -57 | +12 | +8 | +51 | +40 | +5 | +28 |
NOTE: Independents believe:
Also, women in this sample really do not like Trump.
2. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Congress is doing?
| Dem | Rep | Ind | White | Black | Hispanic | Men | Women | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Approve | 23 | 21 | 14 | 21 | 26 | 23 | 23 | 20 |
| Disapprove | 58 | 66 | 71 | 64 | 57 | 58 | 67 | 59 |
| Spread | -35 | -45 | -57 | -43 | -31 | -35 | -44 | -39 |
NOTE: No group approves of what Congress is doing (Independents have the largest gap between approvers and disapprovers). If so, then why do independents approve of Congress pursuing impeachment?
3. Please tell me whether you have a generally favorable or unfavorable opinion of...
This is "Favorable minus Unfavorable".
| Dem | Rep | Ind | White | Black | Hispanic | Men | Women | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump | -79 | +69 | -23 | -1 | -69 | -26 | +3 | -26 |
| Nancy Pelosi | +50 | -68 | -25 | -16 | +21 | +16 | -12 | -1 |
| Adam Schiff | +24 | -42 | -7 | -10 | +2 | 0 | -10 | -4 |
| Mitch McConnell | -50 | +11 | -38 | -24 | -28 | -21 | -21 | -25 |
| Hillary Clinton | +46 | -76 | -33 | -27 | +40 | +4 | -24 | -4 |
| Democrat Party | +73 | -73 | -25 | -7 | +47 | +14 | -6 | +11 |
| Republican Party | -75 | +60 | -30 | -7 | -63 | -16 | -11 | -19 |
NOTE:
46. How troubling do you find the situation surrounding President Trump's dealings with the Ukrainian president -- extremely, very, somewhat, or not at all?
47. President Trump has made allegations about Joe Biden and his son's business dealings in Ukraine and China. How troubling do you find those allegations -- extremely, very, somewhat, or not at all?
Score is "Extremely" + "Very" - "Somewhat" - "Not at all." Higher is worse.
| Dem | Rep | Ind | White | Black | Hispanic | Men | Women | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump Dealings | +64 | -52 | -20 | -2 | +45 | +20 | -3 | +17 |
| Biden Dealings | -47 | +9 | -20 | -23 | -28 | -13 | -19 | -24 |
NOTE: Independents are not troubled by Trump's dealings with the Ukraine, and are equally unconcerned by Biden's dealings with Ukraine and China. Republicans are much less concerned about Biden than Democrats are about Trump.
The other groups show the skew in the sample population.
How the sample population was constructed shoudn't matter based on registered or likely voters, unless they think that 48% of registered people are Democrats but only about 35% are likely to vote. If that's the case, then why care what the 13% think?
-PJ
-PJ
I have noticed in every poll since I’ve been following polls in the Bush-Clinton race in 92 that registered voters polls always favor Democrats and Democrats positions. Never fails.
-PJ
Missing some numbers here.
On first question above:
Sum politicals = 137
Sum races = 184
Sum sexes = 101
Oops, only counted the yes. Here’s all:
Sum politicals = 275
Sum races = 278
Sum sexes = 188
Generally, the "don't know" response is largest with the independent group, which is why it's important to track the changes of this group over time. Will they break for Trump or for the Democrats? If the "favorable/unfavorable" spread is greater than the "don't know," then that's good news for Trump.
That said, this Fox News sample has a very small independent sub-group compared to other polls., making the swing of the independent "don't knows" less impactful to the overall results.
The full set of numbers is in the link at the top of the thread.
-PJ
Don’t trust anything Fox quotes. What kind of news company would hire Ms. Donna Brazile, an admitted liar and intentionally defruded the American People for political gain. Then, Fox hires Leslie Marshall and Jessica Tarlov, both of whom are so far out in left field, they cannot see homeplate and seem to be anti-American regardless of subject matter. Then hire Paul Ryan, a worthless politician who was bought off and left politics once he made his fat retirement check and then fire Trey Gowdy because he went to work for President Trump. Fox has sold out the American conservative.
-PJ
On The Five today, Greg Gutfeld shot holes into the impeachment poll. He pointed out how they over sampled Dems. He said he didn’t care if it was a Fox poll, it was bad.
Good for Greg.
Just imagine what a fair poll would show.
-PJ
Dem dad on couch in mid afternoon on a weekday watching YouTube action movie on TV as his kid asks "Daddy, what does 'working hours' mean?"
Dad: "Nothing that concerns us. Get me another cold beer from the fridge, okay?"
Emerald Robinson ✝️
@EmeraldRobinson
Replying to @johnrobertsFox
Here's a real fact: your network hired Braun Research - which means you hired Hillary Clinton's 2016 regional campaign manager in PA to do a poll!
I especially like this graphic:
-PJ
a D+14 sample!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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