“This mindset must be changed and although I am dead set against our direct involvement I would favor a strong, very strong advisory roll in a partnership with the Saud’s so they may with our help wake up the Mullahs to the dangerous path they are on.”
Within 4 hrs of any Saudi attach on Iran, the entire Saudi oil infrastructure will be shut down by Iranian missiles. And the Strait of Hormuz will be shut to all traffic.
For a week or two.
If those two go at it, at least 20% of the world’s supply of oil will be taken off the market and gas in Houston will be $5/gal. $10 in Europe.
There is NO WAY the US could stay out of that fight.
You act as if the Iranians are invincible and the West has no way to deter them. I disagree. Given the proper time to deploy the needed assets and directed by us (backed by the Eurowankers who certainly have an interest) It is my belief the Straight can be kept open or perhaps have only a minimal amount of traffic impediment and that for a short period of time.
A warning followed by decisive and powerful response should Iran attack the Saudi fields as you suggest would act as a heads up and I believe a future deterrent.
Somehow the Mullahs have gotten the idea Trump won’t act out of fear it will hurt him politically. They need to be disavowed from that sort of thinking.