But what if it succeeds? (shudder)
What I'm talking about is the efforts of the Dems to pursue this, beclowning themselves on the way. As they get more and more frantic and ridiculous, the difficulty of climbing out of the hole they are digging for themselves attains lower and lower probability.
Don't get me wrong; though I don't own a TV, the impact on the 24/7 anti-Trump news cycle still infects my thinking from time to time, especially if DJT has a few goofy tweets in a row. But overall, with or against my instincts, general pessimism, and tendency to overthink things, the money is going to be made betting alongside Trump, and that is a higher stock market, if that is an area that interests you. To date... *all scares* as to recession and scandal and staff-firing chaos have led to higher stock prices after an initial shakeout *after mere days*, talking DAYS in a supposedly weakened state.
Sometimes it's just smarter not to overthink stuff. Bonds have been obliterated over the past few days, driving rates up (bad for refis and seemingly making it harder to finance US debt, these are things that we mere mortals can not get our hands around. IMHO) Like it or not, THE ENTIRE WORLD has NOWHERE ELSE to invest other than US markets. They are going higher. Maybe not astronomically higher, but dippy will be coming in on any dip. It's worked for TEN YEARS: if you've been short, you've been right 2-3-4 times and wrong 37 times. The case can be made, I believe, that a Trump re-election would produce a solid +15% market, perhaps for two years. The S&P would be reaching for 4,000, from 3,000 where it is now.
Then the Senate will adamantly refuse to convict, and barely tolerate a trial.