Two more victories for non-socialists!
Two more times non-socialists out-perform the polls!
caution: the following is based on exit polls
Brandenburg (currently a Social Democrat-Left Party government)
Social Democrats 23% Alternative 23% Christian Democrats 16% Left Party 11% Greens 10% Free Voters 5% [*] [**] Free Democrats 5% [*] Others 4%
ASSUMING at least one of Free Voters and Free Democrats qualify, center to right parties would be able to organize this state government.
Saxony (currently a Christian Democrat-Social Democrat government)
Christian Democrats 32% Alternative 28% Left Party 11% Greens 9% Social Democrats 8% Free Democrats 5% [*] Others 8%
REGARDLESS of whether Free Democrats qualify, center to right parties can organize this state government.
ADDENDEM: [*] might finish below the 5% threshold
[**] might qualify by reason of finishing first in at least one district
For Saxony, AfD finished 2nd place, 27.5 percent. As for seats...they are limited to 30 because of screwed-up paperwork submitted several months ago.
For Brandenburg, AfD finished 2nd place, 22.5 percent.
The real losers in both elections: (1) Linke Party (former communist party)...took hefty losses from last election, (2) SPD Party (left of center), and CDU Party (Merkel’s right of center group).
There’s a 7-week pause before the 3rd state election of Germany occurs, in Thuringia (another eastern state). The AfD is polled to go between 20 to 25 percent. Oddly, the Linke Party is polled to do well, and win (up around 27-to-28 percent).
The basic conclusion? The AfD has yet to peak out, and the two major parties of Germany (CDU-SPD) are losing votes still to the AfD.