"Various shear analyses are indicating 10-15 kt of southwesterly shear over Dorian at the moment, but the global models show this shear diminishing within 12-24 hours.
With lower shear and very warm waters, all of the intensity models forecast Dorian to begin strengthening again soon, and rapid intensification could occur.
The updated NHC intensity forecast has been increased from the previous one and most closely follows the HCCA and Florida State Superensemble aids during the first day or two."
That intensity forecast of theirs currently peaks at 125mph sustained winds, putting it at a solid Cat 3 and within handshake distance of a Cat 4.
Also of note... with the now-forecasted turn to the north while over Florida, the whole thing is gonna be slowing down.
In fact, it looks like it could take a full 24 hours to cover the last 100+/- miles from the Atlantic to Orlando... and still could be a full hurricane once it gets to Orlando.
Will there be an increase in size of the storm over all size along with an increase in intensity