Posted on 08/20/2019 7:58:22 PM PDT by TexasGurl24
Remember in 2017-2018 when the media hyped every special election as a disaster for the GOP. Remember when certain Freepers would post "THE SKY IS FALLING" on every special election?
Well...
Two GOP won two state legislative special elections tonight by crushing margins:
Republican David Rowe Defeated Democrat Jennifer Rager-Kay in the 85th Legislative District in Pennsylvania by a 62.62%-37.38% Margin. This is a R+18 seat, and Rowe won by 25 points.
Republican Patrick Haddon defeated Democrat Carrie Counton 60.99% - 39.01% in South Carolina Legislative District 19. This is a R+13 seat, and Haddon won by 21 points.
While these are both GOP holds, in both of these elections, the GOP massively overperformed the partisan voting index for these seats.
The media will not even mention these wins.
Good analogies. They are canaries in the coal mine, which I willfully ignored in 2018.
How about the local LA race, which was a flip and which no R had won for decades?
RE: How about the local LA race, which was a flip and which no R had won for decades?
I was not aware of that. LA is an Los Angeles? or LA as in Louisiana?
Well, did you look at turnout?
Did you know that in 2018, one of the D flips was on the basis of 100 votes? That they flipped several local seats by less than 1,000 across several states?
Trends are trends. We ignored this trend in 2017-2018. Don’t ignore it again, especially when the trend is your friend.
And don’t forget the LA race where an R won for the first time in decades.
Oh, and TexasGurl24 left one out:
There was a VA race in a HEAVY blue area where the De held-—so it didn’t make TG’s list. But the D margin of victory was shockingly low.
Richard Baris of PPD pointed that out. He also said, at the time, that the CT race was a huge indicator.
It was a Los Angeles race about a week ago. Very shocking, which is why no one heard of it. I can’t remember the details.
I’m not sure Rush even covered it, and Hannity is too busy tick-tocking to cover real news.
I WILL make a point of showing up to vote against Dan McReady. Again.
Bump
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