I don’t remember all of them. It will include IL’s 6th and 14th Districts, OK’s 5th District, three districts in CA (including the one that Darrel Issa had for 18 years), and a district, each, in KS, MN, VA, NJ, and PA.
That’s only 11 seats. The problem I must reiterate with respect to California is that the GOP has not ‘officially’ defeated a Dem incumbent since 1994. Not one. They’ve taken 19 of our 26 seats since the 1996 elections. The Dems are well-funded for all of the 7 seats they took alone in 2018. They are serious about taking those remaining 7 seats, and could very well steal 4-5 of them.
I’ve stated before I do not trust the election results out of CA whatsoever. The Dems are in absolute control and can do whatever they please with counting, harvesting, et al.
As for the rest:
“IL’s 6th and 14th Districts,”
The formerly heavy and historically GOP 6th did not even make my list of competitive seats for 2020. The district, which although went for Willard in 2012, Trump got a paltry 43% there (I considered only districts where he got 45% or higher). Roskam only got 46% in ‘18, losing by an embarrassing 7%. Even worse is that the 2 candidates that are running on the GOP side are going to harm each other that I believe Casten should win again handily. Ex-Lt Gov. Evelyn Sanguinetti and Jeanne Ives (who probably did beat Rauner in the Guv primary last year) will unlikely coalesce behind whomever wins. They are also both badly underfunded.
As for IL-14th, the Dem is well funded. Jim Oberweis can self-fund, though he’s still well behind in fundraising and another candidate who has raised $300k is also running in the GOP primary. Also a potential to get ugly.
OK-5th: Businesswoman Terry Neese has $531k, currently the leader in fundraising, though State Sen. Stephanie Bice has $181k. Dem incumbent still has almost $1 mil.
KS-3rd, Freshman Sharice Davids has almost $1mil. She has no opponent as of yet (bad sign for the GOP).
I think we have the best shot to beat Colin Peterson in MN-7th after 30 years in office. MN-2nd Freshman Angie Craig has almost $900k. She has no opponent at present, though fmr. Rep. Jason Lewis might seek a rematch.
Of the 2 potential competitive seats in VA:
VA-2nd, Freshman Elaine Luria has $858k. Predecessor Scott Taylor, who was also just a freshman, didn’t get a handle on the seat, and isn’t well-regarded by Conservatives. He has decided to run against Sen. Mark Warner next year instead. As a result, no Republicans are being floated at present for this Trump seat.
VA-7th, Freshman Abigail Spanberger has almost $1.1 million. This is also a Trump district that hadn’t elected a Democrat since 1978 (but a lot of the Cantor RINOs obviously went for her to take out Conservative Dave Brat). Brat won’t be seeking a rematch, and is now at Liberty University. 2 Republicans have declared, with Tina Ramirez, a Conservative activist, having $100k. Others may jump in.
5 potential competitive seats in NJ:
NJ-2nd, Freshman Jeff Van Drew has $748k. Three Republicans have declared, but no $$ is listed yet.
NJ-3rd, Freshman Andy Kim has over $1.1 mil. At least 10 Republicans are being floated (the ex-Lt. Gov. Kim Guadagno and 2 ex-Congressmen, Jon Runyan and former incumbent Tom MacArthur), but none has declared.
NJ-5th, Sophomore Josh Gottheimer has a whopping $1.7 mil. Leading in the $$ race is Frank Pallotta, an investment banker (whose name is similar to another NJ Dem, Frank Pallone), but he has just $145k.
NJ-7th, Freshman Tom Malinowski has over $1.1 mil. Leading candidate on the GOP side is Sen. Minority Leader Tom Kean, Jr., scion of the Kean family. This was a GOP district from 1957-2019 (last won by the corrupt future Dem Sen. Harrison “Pete” Williams of Abscam infamy in 1954). Kean has not reported any $$ yet.
NJ-11th, Freshman Mikie Sherrill has over $1.1 mil. A whopping 13 Republicans are being floated for this seat which had been GOP from 1985-2019, including former First Lady Mary Pat Christie, but none has declared, yet.
Pennsylvania — This is the real bitch where the corrupt Demonrat state supreme court explicitly and illegally stole 4 seats outright. I cited 3 where the GOP should try to target, including the 7th, freshman Susan Ellis Wild, who has $576k. Her ‘18 opponent is running again, Dean Browning, and he has $141k. It’s hard to tell what Trump got here exactly, but it has to be close.
PA-8th, Matt Cartwright should also be a target, he has $559k. This is a more Republican seat than he previously occupied. Luzerne County D.A. Stefanie Salavantis is being floated as a potential opponent.
PA-17th, Conor Lamb should be another target. He lucked out in winning a special election against a weak Republican in the prior GOP 18th seat. He won by 12.5% in this new 17th. He has $481k. His opponent, Scott Timko, is a businessman, but appears 2nd tier with less than $15k.