Realistically, Trump demolished Clinton. No matter how to slice it, he won by a comparatively tiny margin. There’s no way to spin a victory of 70k votes into an easy victory with peace of mind for an easy repeat.
Again, anyone parroting your line just doesn’t get how or why Trump won in 16.
They focus on the wrong thing...
Oh Nos’ he only got 70k more votes in 3 states..
No, he didn’t....
Trump got 290k more votes than ANY republican ever got in PA.
He slightly underperformed Romney in WI.
He got 110k more votes in MI than ANY republican before him, at the same time Hillary.
The narrative you choose to follow is you focus on Hillary underperforming Barry WHICH ANY D was going to do in this region, instead of realizing Trump OVERPERFORMED by HUGE numbers any R before him...
And he did that as a “Unknown” entity, in an election where his opposition was simply saying, he’s too dangerous and going to destroy the country.
Trump accomplished this, largely by attracting the disenfranchised voters, largely democrats.. He didn’t get NEARLY all of them, most of the voters that fit that profile, still stayed home... they either thought Trump was just another guy making promises he didn’t keep, or bought into the he’s too dangerous narrative... but even so he got 400k of them to show up in 16 and vote GOP than had EVER voted GOP before in these states...
Now that he is no longer an unknown, and has a track record, and he has shown without question that he means what he says and intends to deliver. Man of the rest those that stayed home in 16, are going to show up in 2020! and there are a LOT more of them.
Not to mention many rank and file D’s are directly seeing the improvements that Trump’s policies have brought... .They may have dutifully pulled the D lever out of the fear mongering in 16, they WILL NOT do so in 2020.
There is ZERO Path to the white house for the D’s, short of a complete economic collapse... none.
Trump will handily get 3-5 Million more votes in 2020 than he did in 16, irrespective of WHO the D’s nominate.. and that total could be a good bit more depending on who ends up being the D nominee.
Trump will take every state he won in 16, and will win most if not all states he got 45% or more of the vote of in 16 and lost... and will battle for and likely get a few of the states he got 40-45% of the vote in 16.
Trump will be re-elected by the largest EC margin since Reagan.
This thing isn’t going to be close.
The days of surrendering the map, and threading the needle, Karl Rove style are OVER.