Posted on 05/28/2019 4:59:47 PM PDT by SMGFan
The race for the Democratic presidential nomination is gathering pace.
The first debates will be held next month in Miami, even though the Iowa caucuses will not take place until February 2020.
The field grew to 24 last week when New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio announced his candidacy.
Who are the top contenders?
1. Former Vice President Joe Biden
(Excerpt) Read more at thehill.com ...
Top 10? None of them they all suck!!
With so many people, will they have a kids table debate for the fringe candidates?
Hard to believe this is the best they can do.
Maybe three, like a middle school
There are 3 serious candidates on that list.
You're being awfully generous today, Jim.
The race for the Democratic presidential nomination is gathering pace.
The first debates will be held next month in Miami, even though the Iowa caucuses will not take place until February 2020.
The field grew to 24 last week when New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio announced his candidacy.
Who are the top contenders?
1. Former Vice President Joe Biden
Biden has surprised skeptics with the extent of his early strength.
His rallies have been largely gaffe-free, his initial fundraising totals — $6.3 million in his first 24 hours — have been formidable and he has vaulted to a big polling lead.
In four major recent polls — from Monmouth University, Quinnipiac University, Morning Consult and Fox News — Biden held a greater than two-to-one lead over his nearest challenger, Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.).
Biden’s appeal is simple: He bills himself as the best candidate to beat President Trump, in part because of his roots in Scranton, Pa., and his cultural empathy for voters in the Rust Belt and Upper Midwest.
Trump has attacked Biden on Twitter as “Sleepy Joe.” But those attacks have boosted Biden’s cachet among Democrats, who see them as proof that the president fears him.
Biden’s appeal to nonwhite voters is, so far, stronger than anyone else in the field — in part, perhaps, a tribute to his loyal service to former President Obama.
Biden’s critics on the left insist his standing is falsely inflated right now and that he will fall to earth as his past record on everything from criminal justice to credit card companies becomes more widely known.
The 76-year-old former vice president has also had some verbal stumbles, as when he briefly referred to the late Margaret Thatcher, rather than Theresa May, as the prime minister of the United Kingdom.
Overall, however, it’s clear Biden is the front-runner.
Previous ranking, Feb. 19: 2
2. Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.)
The Vermont Independent has held on to his position as the main standard-bearer of the left, despite facing increasing competition from Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.).
Love him or hate him, Sanders is consistent. He is committed to the same democratic socialist ideals he has espoused for decades, he is as acerbic as ever about the media’s tendency to focus on personality over policies and many of his supporters display an intense devotion to him.
Sanders also has enormous resources. His campaign raised $18.2 million in the 41 days between his launch and the end of the first quarter.
But can he recapture the same kind of magic that powered his 2016 campaign against eventual nominee Hillary Clinton?
The recent Monmouth University poll, conducted May 16–20, indicated support for him had declined by 5 points since the month before.
To win, Sanders needs the left to coalesce behind him. Warren’s rise suggests the opposite is happening.
Previous ranking: 3
3. Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass)
Warren is enjoying real momentum. In polls, she has broken out of the pack to become the clear No. 3.
Warren’s skill as a campaigner is evident in warmly received stump appearances.
Her campaign has also shown a deft touch for social media and popular culture. In a video posted on Twitter, she discussed “Game of Thrones” with progressive icon Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.). In another tweet, she responded to comedian Ashley Nicole Black’s request for a plan to fix her love life.
Those flippant moments work because no-one doubts Warren’s intellect — she is a former Harvard Law School professor — or her policy chops.
Warren has rolled out policies on a broad range of issues, which she is able to explain with specificity and accessibility. Her campaign has underlined this strength, selling merchandise with the slogan, “Warren has a plan for that.”
Like Sanders, Warren is vulnerable to the suggestion that her left-leaning beliefs make her less electable than other front-line candidates. The memory of her shaky handling of the question of her Native American heritage has not disappeared.
For all that, though, Warren is snapping at Sanders’s heels. If she were to supplant him as the leading progressive candidate, the landscape of the race would shift.
Previous ranking: 5
4. Sen. Kamala Harris (D-Calif.)
Harris topped The Hill’s rankings in February.
At the time, she had been boosted by a huge launch rally in Oakland, a sense that she brought more charisma to the race than any other candidate — and the fact that Biden had not yet declared.
Since then Harris’s fortunes have stagnated.
One persistent criticism is that she is too prone to caution. Her propensity to say she is willing to “have a conversation” about certain hot-button issues has been an inviting target for her skeptics.
Harris has also clarified or shifted her positions on several issues, such as whether her vision for “Medicare for All” involves the outright elimination of private insurance or whether police shootings should be investigated by independent prosecutors rather than local district attorneys.
Harris, the top-performing black candidate in the race, is so far receiving adequate but not outstanding support from nonwhite voters.
It’s far too early to count Harris out, but she needs some big moments that could push her closer to the very top of the pack.
Previous ranking: 1
5. South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg (D)
A Buttigieg Boomlet has propelled the 37-year-old mayor from near-obscurity to the higher tiers of the field. Can he go any further?
Buttigieg has embarked on an exhaustive round of media appearances, which have showcased his chief assets: likability, an ease and clarity before the cameras, and a center-left appeal to comity and cooperation.
But there are real doubts about Buttigieg’s ability to appeal beyond the upscale whites who form the main pillar of his support. Some racially-tinged controversies during his tenure in South Bend could further hamper his appeal to non-white voters.
Previous ranking: N/A
6. Former Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D-Texas)
O’Rourke is already seeking to reboot his campaign, appearing at a CNN town hall and on ABC’s “The View” and expressing regret for telling Vanity Fair that he was “born” to run for the presidency.
The effort comes after the initial hype over O’Rourke fell flat.
The kind of retail campaigning that helped him in his Senate bid against Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) last fall has not broken through this time. Nor has O’Rourke enjoyed the same kind of viral moment as he did in the Senate race, when his defense of NFL players protesting racial injustice became a sensation.
O’Rourke could come back, but he is not an especially strong debater and he faces the possibility that Buttigieg — whose appeal is demographically similar — may have stolen his thunder.
Previous ranking: 4
7. Sen. Cory Booker (D-N.J.)
Booker has struggled to find a place for himself in the crowded primary field.
Having started his campaign talking about the transformative power of “radical love,” he has more recently sharpened his appeal — and his willingness to attack others.
He has taken a strong stance on some issues, including the protection of abortion rights.
But it’s not quite clear what the rationale for a Booker candidacy — or a Booker presidency — actually is.
Previous ranking: 6
8. Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-Minn.)
Klobuchar’s bid is predicated on the idea that Democrats are willing to choose a centrist from the heartlands as the best candidate to take on Trump.
She is a lot more circumspect than her more progressive rivals when it comes to issues such as the Green New Deal and Medicare for All. She has referred to herself as “Heartland Amy” and she, like Buttigieg, has done a Fox News town hall.
Klobuchar’s appeal does make her distinctive to some degree. But Biden’s dominance among centrist voters seriously curtails Klobuchar’s room to run.
Previous ranking: 7
9. Former Secretary of Housing and Urban Development Julián Castro
Castro got off to a slow start in his campaign and usually polls in the low single digits. But that’s better than some better-known candidates, including Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D-N.Y.), who has failed to register at all in several recent surveys.
Castro has made opposition to Trump’s immigration policies one of his signature issues. He has also sought to play up his connection to Obama, in whose Cabinet he served.
Will that take him far? Probably not. But a respectable performance in the field could put him on someone’s shortlist for vice president.
Previous ranking: N/A
10. Businessman Andrew Yang
Yang, a rank outsider, has at least nurtured his own small band of supporters — the self-proclaimed Yang Gang.
Yang has an idiosyncratic approach, for sure — boosting his profile by appearing on well-known podcasts rather then cable news, for example.
He has bemoaned the power of big tech companies. He has suggested a new value-added tax on corporations, with the proceeds dispensed as a universal basic income.
It is virtually inconceivable that Yang will be the nominee. But he has at least made some kind of imprint on a race where many others have barely been noticed.
Previous ranking: N/A
We did.
Biden
Biden
Biden
Biden
Biden
Biden
Biden
Biden
Bernie
I call them all NOPEs.
NOPE = “Never Obtain the Presidency, Ever”
What a bunch of losers!
“Awfully generous”
Don’t discount the opposition. HRC was a terrible candidate, probably the worst in history, and she got 4 million votes more than the President.
And with enough fraud in California, Illinois, and New York, Biden can get 6 million more "votes" than Trump.
I have no doubts that the Democrats will expend maximum effort to generate 300% "voter turnout" in selected urban precincts. That worked in Detroit for the 2018 elections.
The 2020 election will be tense.
Lord Bostwick
From:
The Assassination Bureau
A Jack London Novel
I’m not concerned about four million, or six million, votes in the ststes you mentioned.
I AM concerned about the 60 000 votes needed to turn Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania, and you should be, too.
“will they have a kids table debate for the fringe candidates?”
Yep. It’ll be called The Biden Table.
L
The "Net Popular Vote" will be contaminated with enough obvious vote fraud from the usual suspects (California, Illinois, and New York) to render it meaningless. And no one should give those totals any credence.
But relatively modest efforts of vote fraud could turn a number of swing States into Democrat victories in the Electoral College. That could be decisive. I see nothing from the Republicans that appears to be effective counter-measures.
I am all ears for helpful suggestions.
That is still the sorriest HRC narrative that somehow survives 30 months later despite the documented truth: at the bitter end, in the last month of the election, Brazile panicked Cankles into spending tens of millions of dollars in their well-known urban corridors turning out the Amish free-ham-sandwich-lunch-and-a-bus-ride-to-dem-polls.
See who reported late -- after midnight ET! -- in Chicago and NO (reporting 3 hours after poll closings) and LA to drive up Cankles score.
Jesus Christ, on Election Night with the nets holding out PA just to humiliate Trump, ABC alluded to "Cankles surge in urban votes" just after 1am...
And yes, to make it plain, urban votes that come 3 hours after polls close in Chicago and NO are illegitimate. Period, paragraph.
Clinton spent money late in irrelevant states to ensure she won the popular vote"Interim Democratic National Committee Chair Donna Brazile hatched a plan to spend money to drive up inner-city turnout in places like Chicago and New Orleans — even though neither Illinois nor Louisiana was remotely competitive — because of fear that Clinton would win the Electoral College vote but lose the popular vote. So confident were Clinton campaign officials of their Electoral College win that they refused requests to reallocate resources to places like Michigan because they did not want to risk the public relations nightmare that would come along with losing the popular vote.
"Among the other workarounds claimed was one from interim DNC chair Donna Brazile, who was persuading the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee and Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee to hold the $5 million transferred to them from the Clinton campaign and to wait to spend it buying airtime for minority voter turnout in the final week they otherwise wouldn’t have been able to fund."But there also were millions approved for transfer from Clinton’s campaign for use by the DNC — which, under a plan devised by Brazile to drum up urban turnout out of fear that Trump would win the popular vote while losing the electoral vote, got dumped into Chicago and New Orleans, far from anywhere that would have made a difference in the election."
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