Posted on 04/26/2019 8:46:06 AM PDT by billorites
When I was a young baseball fan, I thought that pitchers who relied on a great fastball would lose their effectiveness more quickly than pitchers with a mediocre fastball who relied on junk and guile. After all, speed declines with age while guile, if anything, increases.
Eventually, after observing the late career success of to Robin Roberts, I realized that pitchers with a great fastball can reinvent themselves as pitchers with a mediocre fastball, guile, and junk. Meanwhile, junkballers lose the mediocre fastball that set up their junk.
Which brings me to Joe Biden.
Biden never had a good fastball. He finished near the bottom of his law school class at Syracuse University (and lied about this, as well as other aspects of his academic background). When he campaigned for president in 1988, he had to rely on words he stole from a British politician.
He has been wrong about nearly foreign policy and national security issue for the past four decades, including even the no-brainer decision to kill Osama bin Laden in Pakistan.
Biden never had success in any endeavor other than politics. Thats true of Bill Clinton and (mostly) Barack Obama too. But they are obviously intelligent (extremely so in Clintons case) and achieved the academic success that eluded Biden, to say the least.
Biden deserves credit for becoming a Senator from Delaware at a young age. But his two attempts at the presidency were abject failures. If Barack Obama hadnt needed a non-controversial white running mate with gray hair, Biden would have languished in the Senate forever.
Bidens signature moment in the Senate was the Clarence Thomas confirmation process over which he presided as chairman of the Judiciary Committee. He behaved like a deer caught in the headlights. Now, hes apologizing for the few sensible decisions he made during the Anita Hill farce (Hill, needless to say, isnt mollified).
In short, Biden was a mediocrity during his prime. At 76, hes past his prime.
What, then, does Biden have to offer? Two things, I think. Hes not a socialist and he doesnt traffic in identity politics.
That wouldnt be much, except for the fact that every other serious contender for the Democratic nomination answers to at least one of two descriptions: socialist and identity politics monger. By contrast, a large swath of Democratic voters answers to neither.
This reality, Bidens name recognition, and his association with Barack Obama make him a formidable-seeming candidate.
But theres a problem. Its not likely that Biden will run as a purely traditional Democrats. I havent heard him part company with the leftism espoused by the rest of the Democratic field. Rather, hes apologizing for past manifestations of his traditionalism. Biden seems anxious to prove that hes woke that, in his late 70s, he finally gets it.
I dont believe Biden can do woke for a sustained period of time. Im not sure he do it for a month. Moreover, the effort will only make him seem ridiculous and produce even more gaffes than we are accustomed to from the talkative former vice president.
This suggests that Bidens candidacy could go in either of two directions. He might become a laughingstock and, as such, crash and burn. Or Democrats (and eventually the electorate as a whole) might forgive, overlook, or laugh off his attempts at wokeness and accept Biden as a serviceable alternative to his wacky competitors (and eventually to President Trump).
In the latter scenario, America might well end up with a president who never had a fastball or much guile a president who was always a mostly empty suit and who has shriveled with old age.
That won't go down well with older leftists (the younger ones probably don't know who the other guys are).
What scares me about Biden is that there are a lot of Never Trumper Republicans who will be comfortable voting for Biden.
Does anyone think that Kasich wont vote for Biden over Trump?
They seem to get along well together.
There is even a petition circulating for them to run together.
At this rate (25 signatures so far) a Biden-Kasich ticket will be on the ballot by the middle of the century.
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