Man, the analysis here is so juvenile as to be funny.
The big question are nukes and the Navy. As far as nukes go I do not see them as a viable weapon in a civil war. The Navy is the crucial question. Will the center Navy( will they have a Navy?) be able to blockade the coasts and starve the blue coast cities?
This!
Best to observe and learn the differences.
California, Oregon, and Washington can easily feed themselves...as long as the conservative farmers don’t flee. The new Hispanic land owners would get the farms, ranches, and orchards and have the same Hispanic field hands. Keeping the farm machinery in good repair could be a challenge after a few years.
The big question is which side controls the U.S. armed forces!
The Navy is a big part of that. We won't have a war if the government stays in conservative hands.
Nukes are important, because they prevent invasion by foreigners. Libya would not have fallen if it had nukes.
Look at the difference between North Korea and Libya.