It’ll be part of it. I think the major item is AOC and Bernie’s driving the Dems so far left, Independents will jump GOP in numbers that’ll make up for the Never-Trumpers, and with the augmented black vote, weigh heavily in the results.
The “NeverTrumper numbers wouldn’t fill a medium sized football stadium!
They consist almost entirely of “inside the Beltway” columnists, “ radio & TV talking heads”, professional PR flacks & wannabe professional politicians! People whose careers are toast if Trump is successful and the idea of a non-professional politician catches on.
Their numbers have always been horribly exaggerated!