Climate-Modeling Illusions Not Based on Reality

American Thinker ^ | Jay Lehr

[RoosterRedux]

For three decades, global warming alarmists have harassed society with stories of gloom and doom as a result of the carbon dioxide emitted into the air by the burning of fossil fuel. They are exercising precisely what prominent writer H.L. Mencken described as “the whole point of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed and hence clamorous to be led to safety by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary”.

In fact, the man-caused global warming or climate change panic may well be the best hobgoblin ever conceived. It has half the world clamoring to be led to safety from climate change without a shred of physical evidence. Every single statement issued to support these fearmongering claims presented in a new 1,500-page report from 13 separate agencies of the federal government by 300 Obama-appointed scientists, has no basis in physical measurements or observations.

What they do have are mathematical equations considered to be models of the Earth’s climate. However, they have only a handful of the hundreds of variables that impact climate and the numbers inserted for the arbitrarily selected variables are little more than guesses. Unfortunately, the U.S. government has financed more than one hundred efforts to model our climate for the better part of three decades, with none coming close to actual results.

The problem real scientists who study climate -- not those paid for bias -- face, is that the public has no clue what a mathematical model actually is, how it works, and what they can and cannot do. Let’s simplify the subject and enlighten all Americans, and the rest of the world’s population as well.

[Reeses]

I’ve often wondered...if we hadn’t invented computers (and thus, computer models) would “climate change” even be an issue?

Yes, there are NY Times stories written in the 1800s about climate change. This never ends. Communism and socialism are closely related to global warmism, having the same goals of separating you from your money and controlling your every move, and they existed long before computer models. Political rust never sleeps.

The saying "all models are wrong, some are useful" truly applies to *all* models: mathematical, religious, political, economic, climate, chemistry, quantum mechanics, and every physics formula ever invented. They are all over-simplifications. While a few of them are highly useful, all are certain to be wrong, sometimes very wrong.