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Do Falling Oil Prices Help or Hurt the US
Oil price.com ^ | Editorial Board

Posted on 12/01/2018 10:52:43 PM PST by con-surf-ative

The assumption generally held is that lower oil prices generally benefit the US economy. A closer look shows this is not necessarily the case.

(Excerpt) Read more at oilprice.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; News/Current Events
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1 posted on 12/01/2018 10:52:43 PM PST by con-surf-ative
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To: con-surf-ative

Good question. Will it lead to $2/gallon gas? Dream on.


2 posted on 12/01/2018 10:59:13 PM PST by DIRTYSECRET (urope. Why do they put up with this.)
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To: con-surf-ative

I gotta say, when Obummer became president, gasoline was at $1.87 an gallon.


3 posted on 12/01/2018 11:02:48 PM PST by Slyfox (Not my circus, not my monkeys)
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To: con-surf-ative

low oil prices will allow the government to sneak in additional taxes.


4 posted on 12/01/2018 11:06:27 PM PST by Cowboy Bob ("Other People's Money" = The life blood of Liberalism)
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To: Cowboy Bob

Taxes should be removed.


5 posted on 12/01/2018 11:11:24 PM PST by DIRTYSECRET (urope. Why do they put up with this.)
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To: con-surf-ative
Do Falling Oil Prices Help or Hurt the US

Hurt some in the US, help most.

6 posted on 12/01/2018 11:11:26 PM PST by Steely Tom ([Seth Rich] == [the Democrat's John Dean])
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To: Slyfox
I gotta say, when Obummer became president, gasoline was at $1.87 an gallon.

Yeah, and a nice lunch (deli sandwich, side order, and a soft drink) cost $5.

When he left office, such a lunch cost $10.

7 posted on 12/01/2018 11:12:46 PM PST by Steely Tom ([Seth Rich] == [the Democrat's John Dean])
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To: con-surf-ative

they help ME....I don’t own oil stocks nor oil wells...we are not rich..not poor either but we definitely like paying less at the pump...


8 posted on 12/01/2018 11:21:52 PM PST by cherry (official troll)
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To: con-surf-ative

The knee-jerk answer really depends on whether you’re on the supply side or the demand side of the question.

If the price of oil is too low, well, it’ll still be in the ground when the price goes back up. And at some pump price, it will be worth while for suppliers to dive back in.

Even if all the old oilmen die off in the meantime, their grand kids will still be able to Google “How to get crude from the ground and deliver it in useful form to the gas station”


9 posted on 12/01/2018 11:26:40 PM PST by Oscar in Batangas (12:01 PM 1/20/2017...The end of an error.)
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To: con-surf-ative
Low fuel prices mean lower costs to consumer and to businesses thus freeing up capital for other things.

Also, the lower the price of oil, the sooner the Saudis and their ilk will be bankrupted.

It's a win-win.

10 posted on 12/01/2018 11:27:03 PM PST by who_would_fardels_bear
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To: con-surf-ative

The argument is beside the point with respect to the context of the situation. Low oil prices are good for an industrialized economy.

A de-industrialized economy is an economy that will collapse due to balance of payments deficits in trade, rising debts, eventually skyrocketing interest rates, bond collapse, etc.

Let’s get industrialized again (MAGA), and produce for low (but profitable enough) oil prices.


11 posted on 12/01/2018 11:28:35 PM PST by familyop ("Welcome to Costco. I love you." - -Costco greeter in the movie, "Idiocracy")
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To: cherry

Lower oil prices hurt the oil companies and benefit just about everyone other than the oil companies. Remember when oil prices were low and JR Euwing was fretting about what to do? Maybe an act of Congress to Get JR back on his feet financially?


12 posted on 12/01/2018 11:30:00 PM PST by Trumpet 1 (US Constitution is my guide.)
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To: con-surf-ative

hmmm...

let me see.

gas hit $4 back in 07, economy tanked.


13 posted on 12/01/2018 11:31:20 PM PST by 867V309 (Lock Her Up)
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To: DIRTYSECRET

Gas is around $2 now at many stations in the less corrupt states.


14 posted on 12/01/2018 11:31:56 PM PST by familyop ("Welcome to Costco. I love you." - -Costco greeter in the movie, "Idiocracy")
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To: Trumpet 1

Who shot J.R.?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Who_shot_J.R.%3F


15 posted on 12/01/2018 11:35:33 PM PST by familyop ("Welcome to Costco. I love you." - -Costco greeter in the movie, "Idiocracy")
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To: con-surf-ative
The assumption generally held is that lower oil prices generally benefit the US economy. A closer look shows this is not necessarily the case.

Where do these idiots come from? Of course lower prices for gasoline help the economy. People have money to spend on other things.

16 posted on 12/01/2018 11:41:22 PM PST by gunsequalfreedom
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To: Cowboy Bob
low oil prices will allow the government to sneak in additional taxes.

Nope. Voters allow government to sneak in additional taxes.

17 posted on 12/01/2018 11:42:01 PM PST by gunsequalfreedom
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To: con-surf-ative

There is a happy zone around $50-60 dollar oil. Enough to keep the oil industry well lubricated, but still relatively cheap gas. The bottleneck in refineries also drives the gas price. That is the next place to work on.


18 posted on 12/01/2018 11:43:22 PM PST by Revolutionary ("Praise the Lord and Pass the Ammunition!")
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To: Trumpet 1
Lower oil prices hurt the oil companies and benefit just about everyone other than the oil companies.

Well, I think it's necessary to expand your concept of beneficiaries beyond just oil producers to include not only companies that provide equipment and services to oil producers but also entire regions in which oil production is a significant part of the economy. Certain areas of Texas, North Dakota, Alaska and even California produce a lot of oil. The higher the price, the more incentive there is to produce in those areas. In turn, oil booms drive other sectors of the economy: housing, retail, consumer discretionary, etc.
19 posted on 12/01/2018 11:45:40 PM PST by irishjuggler (br>)
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To: con-surf-ative

The answer is both. Falling gas prices benefit the consumer, and the consumer is widely considered to be about 2/3 of the United States economy. So low gas prices produce higher consumer spending....that’s an important point because the consumer, like it or not, is simply an enormous part of the US economy. On the other hand falling gas prices generate a certain amount of nervousness in the bond markets, because with the rise in oil prices, people have been encouraged to get more leveraged in the oil space and there is a great deal of secondary debt in that market that needs higher oil prices to service. So lower prices in oil affect that market a great deal. And that is a very important Market.

Finally, in the stock market, lower oil prices depress the stock prices of oil companies like Exxon and Conoco, but Airlines have been ramping considerably. This also affects the Dow Jones Transportation average which a lot of people use as a clue for the economy. So in sum it’s probably beneficial to have lower oil prices, to a certain extent... until they get so low that the secondary bond market blows up. That would not be good.


20 posted on 12/02/2018 12:12:39 AM PST by Attention Surplus Disorder (Apoplectic is where we want them)
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