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To: TexasGurl24

Actually, here’s my quick analysis that shows Scott would still have won, but Nelson did indeed lose a lot of votes in Broward.

Florida Statewide:

Total Votes for Governor: 8,217,818
Total Votes for Senator: 8,183,795
Difference: .4%

Broward County:

Total Votes for Governor: 708,955
Total Votes for Senator: 683,963
Difference: 3.5%

This would suggest that approx. 3.1% of voters in Broward (approx. 22,000 votes) missed the Senate box.

Scott got 30.9% of the Broward vote, while Nelson got 68.9%, so if the “missed” votes in theory were going to vote the same way as the general population, Nelson would have picked up 9,500 votes if the ballot was the same design as the rest of Florida.

Which is not enough to overcome Scott’s 12,000 vote lead but it would have put him within striking distance.

However:

Before the hand recount, when people realized this was a ballot issue not a scanner issue, Florida Democrats may indeed have expected to pick up 9,500 votes in Broward.

Which may well explain why the machine vote increases in Scott’s vote were “accidentally” submitted late in one county and set aside in another, Because those increases could have been critical.

Also note:

If Democrats are equally incapable of following instructions for designing ballots and instructions for filling them out, it’s entirely possible that almost all of those 22,000 voters were Nelson supporters, in which case comprehensive Democratic incompetence could have cost him the election.

Which would support my observation that at least in this one case, stupidity is self correcting.


18 posted on 11/16/2018 9:29:42 AM PST by edwinland
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To: edwinland

There are two issues with that theory.

Some of the undervote is absolutely intentional. Other Florida counties had an undervote of .75% to 1%.

The other issue with that theory is the nearly equal distribution of undervote between Scott and Nelson.

Scott receive 10K less than DeSantis and Nelson received 10K less than Gillum.

I can’t figure why those numbers would be so consistent, other than some DeSantis voters missed the box too.


19 posted on 11/16/2018 9:32:48 AM PST by TexasGurl24
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