[ETCM]

Right and wrong. Your example would be 16,000 net for Abrams
I said she needs about 25,000 (to force a runoff)
I was countering a claim she needed 65,000
In an honest election, a change would be impossible. Even with fraud, a net change of over 25K is really hard to pull off. So you’re likely correct that Kemp’s win is safe.

[rissole]

Huh? 60% of 80,000 is 48,000. :) Even if you make it 58%, that's still over 45,000 for Abrams, and clearly not enough.

[rissole]

Oh, sorry, I think I misunderstood you. You’re talking about a NET of 25,000 for Abrams. Got it.

Anyway, like you said, that would be really hard to pull off, so it appears Kemp’s got this. :)