But in Georgia the Democrats are seeking not to win the vote right now, but rather to get Kemp below 50% so that a runoff election will be held in December.
I read somewhere that’d take a 24,000-vote decline in his lead from provisional ballots. That’s a pretty tall order.
With 100 percent of precincts reporting, Brian Kemp has 50.5 percent, more than the 50 percent needed to avoid a runoff. He leads by 75,386 votes. Abrams isn’t even arguing that she won; she’s arguing that once all the absentees are counted, Kemp won’t be above the threshold and the race will automatically go to a runoff on December 4.
As of this morning, there are 3,886,414 votes cast in this race. To shave off that half-percent of Kemp’s lead, Abrams and Libertarian candidate Ted Metz would have to gain 19,432 votes out of the remaining absentee ballots. The Abrams campaign calculates that there are about 100,000 absentee ballots out there. Abrams and Metz would have to win about 60 percent of them to get Kemp under the threshold to avoid a runoff.