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Understood, but the numbers are already running BIG for the Red wave.
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Updates (that I’m allowed to share):
*Watkins appears to have held his seat in KS (take one off the D “flip list”
*Per Baris: Daryl Issa told him last night that “his” (Issa’s) is the only CA seat we’ll lose. (take 1-2 more off the Ds “flip list”)
*Sessions apparently is going to lose his seat (add one back)
*FL looking VERY good (but I can’t say more).
*Per Cuyahoga GOP: Ds were “up” in the county in their early/absentee vote (over 2016), Rs were “up more” (I’m sure he means as a %). Great news, as a D must come out of Cuyahoga up 150,000 to take the state.
*Anecdotal OH: hearing last couple of days of early voting in Claremont, Warren, and Butler (all red) were long lines to early vote.
*Per Freeper “Ravi,” the IA1 #s show that Ds were up in absentee/early over 2016 by a little over 1, Rs down .08, and Rod Blum won by 7 in 2016, so he may be safe.
As of now, 9:46 AZ time, Ds have lost a net two off their flip list and are at around 28 flippable seats. Magic # is 23. We expect to gain 2 in MN, which would make it 26. We are “hoping” that AZ1 flips as it seems, which would make it 25, and then we’d only have to hold 2 more seats on that entire list to hold the House. So far, so good.