He gave Hillary Clinton a 92 percent chance of being elected president, so his chance of Republicans retaining the House is lower than Mrs. Clinton’s chance of being president.
No he really didn’t it was more like 78% chance.
With Nate Silver’s predictions, you have to use a Hillary Clinton-fudge factor of minus-40 to reach a more accurate Silver number.
Nate needs to take a year off...just tour the country and talk to regular people.
He actually gave her only a 71% chance of winning the Electoral College in his final projection.