Posted on 11/05/2018 4:59:01 PM PST by Kaslin
And of course everybody pays attention to polls because they were so accurate in 2016. /S
No one knows if the polling firms suddenly regained credibility after total blowout humiliation of Hillary’s landslide victory in 2016-—that wasn’t.
True, a poll employee coming up to a white man next a crowd of people on the street and asking: “Are you for that racist supremacist Trump we all hate around here, or not?”
“uh, no.” might not be accurate.
“It’s not he who votes that counts, but he who counts the votes!” -Stalin
Actually, what we may see is AA turnout at a historic high, but not the percentages they like. More like 70% instead of their normal 96-98%.
The numbers people keep throwing out there are strange to me.
The Senate is going to be +11.
I think we’re going to see a massive pick up in the House. I think the “safe” districts in the “Leans” or “Mostly” category are so dramatically under polled or intentionally mispolled, that unless it’s a 15 point lead for the blue candidate, no chance in most states.
I’m feeling like pretty much all the “swing” and “last minute” deciders are going to be about 90-95% sanity and break red. And right now, in most races, we’re looking at anywhere from 10-40% in that category.
The press has so missed the fury of the right and the disgust of the middle at the actions of the left for the last two years, that they are literally polling democrat strongholds in the hopes of driving votes. There are very few undecideds. Unannounced, plenty. Undecided, no.
I think we may see unprecedented gains from the party in control. It should be interesting.
Minnesota might send 2 republican senators to DC.
Amy k might be tough to beat. But smith dodged a few debates and went MIA.
.
GOP will definitely gain in the House.
It seems hard for me to understand how any Rat in a competitive district has a compelling “vote for me” argument! “Trump is bad!’ just doesn’t cut it. The only reason I can see to vote for the Rat is the GOP’er is so bad that novelty is better. I think there are very few of those districts.
Got to my polling place this morning at 7.
I spent about a minute in line, and then got to vote.
I was number 99.
Last time, they cleared 600 for the day. They opened at 6:30.
Very conservative enclave of a deep blue district.
My polling place is at 3/4 of the numbers it pulled in the special election earlier this year by 1pm. And that was a very very high turn out for it..
And none of the local races are really considered competitive, so this is all being driven by national trends...
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