[Ravi]

You may have seen this from electionsmith:

In 2016, GOP voters tipped the election for Trump on Election Day.

As of this am, over 1.3m registered voters in FL have yet to vote, even though they’ve voted in the last 4 general elections.

51% of them are Republicans.

[SpeedyInTexas]

Nice. That 51% will be in line tomorrow.

Also, Morning Consult has a generic ballot poll out. Shows only D+3. https://morningconsult.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/181064_crosstabs_POLITICO_Registered-Voters_v1_ML-2.pdf

That sounds about right to me. CNN is out with their trash polls. LA Times must only be polling the LA area for their national generic ballot.

[Methos8]

As of this am, over 1.3m registered voters in FL have yet to vote, even though they’ve voted in the last 4 general elections. 51% of them are Republicans.

Yup. I am in that bucket! I'm assuming that is something like 51% Rep, 35% Dem and 14% independent. If we see Election Day turnout 2.5m+ we're in pretty good shape. Was 2.84m in 2014 and 2.96m in 2016.

[Rumierules]

By my calculations, if the 1.3 million show tomorrow, at 51% Republicans, 49% non-republicans, then Republicans could take back the DEMs lead of 24,689 by 1,311 even if all non-republicans = DEMs.

So, that analysis is flawed because a certain percentage of those who have not voted are independents. In other words the 1,311 margin for REPs is likely to be larger.