Hurricane hit Bay County (Red) has now hit overall turnout of 40% (catching up with other counties).
Even better, R turnout of R registered voters in Bay is almost at 50%.
Final NV numbers: https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DrQjdi8VsAAa4pq.jpg
I was expecting a REP deficit of 21,666 in my last estimate.
Deficit came in at 21,559. So the last 5 rural counties came in a bit better than expected. That is 3.4% DEM lead.
I’ve been using a 3.1% goal for Heller to win on Election day. Not quite there, but still winnable.
There has to be a lot of Washoe REP voters who didn’t vote early. They need to turn out in mass tomorrow.
