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To: rodguy911
Given the older age group that make up much of FL voting, I wonder if Gillium in FL, and to a lesser extend Abrams in GA, are over polling due to the Bradley effect? I noticed in older relatives an almost painful awkward attempt to do anything possible to avoid being called "racist".

The Bradley effect (less commonly the Wilder effect)[1][2] is a theory concerning observed discrepancies between voter opinion polls and election outcomes in some United States government elections where a white candidate and a non-white candidate run against each other.[3][4][5] The theory proposes that some voters who intend to vote for the white candidate would nonetheless tell pollsters that they are undecided or likely to vote for the non-white candidate. It was named after Los Angeles Mayor Tom Bradley, an African-American who lost the 1982 California governor's race despite being ahead in voter polls going into the elections.[6]

187 posted on 11/04/2018 7:57:28 AM PST by MNJohnnie (They would have to abandon leftism to achieve sanity. Freeper Olog-hai)
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To: MNJohnnie
Very astute MNJ and could well be. I know many voters who won't even do polls anymore so thinking that they are spiked, spinning a little to the caller is not out of the realm at all.

Pollster Frank Luntz on Hungry Howie said he sees no predictive value in polling this time around. Luntz was amazed at what was happening with polling.

263 posted on 11/04/2018 11:29:20 AM PST by rodguy911 (Maga USA supports Trump.)
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