With its permanent level of Democrat vote fraud and mafia control, I think of it as New Jersey West. A statewide Republican candidate needs to lead by ~ 10% in the polls to have any chance of coming out on top on Election Day.
Heller isn’t up by 10% (or even 1%), so unfortunately it’s goodbye to him. The GOP seemed to have a shot at gaining 1 or 2 House seats in Nevada, but that’s probably a fantasy though the races at one time appeared to be close.
Heller won his race in 2012 even while Obama carried the state by 7pts.
Could we please stop with the doom and gloom? The Democrats lead in early voting is lower than 2016 when Trump narrowly lost the state. Heller is not Trump. He attracts more Is and Ds. Also, rural turnout is going to be through the roof. Heller by 3 points.