The EV lead in NV in 2016 was 46K in favor of the Dems. So the lead has been cut in half with EV in 2018. So why is everyone panicking?
Because Jon Ralston says we should
Illinois is the same as Nevada with the “voted against healthcare” ads. I honestly think that will be as effective as Hillary’s TV ad blitz in 2016. You know the thing about TV now? No one watches it? If they do watch TV, they have DVRs and don’t watch the ads. The people who actually watch the ads are tuning them out. Television executives refuse to report it because those ads make their stations and cable operations run but it’s the truth. It certainly was for Trump. The traditional political ad is a form of advertising that has become self-parody beyond even the uselessness of television advertising as an effective form of communication. TV Executives and their allies in dead-tree journalism are doing everything they can to bury the story about the death of traditional advertising but Trump proved it was useless, wasteful spending in 2016 and I think we’ll see that again this cycle. When you have no credibility, people just don’t believe you and that goes for the TV stations and the national political party apparatuses that raise money just to spend it with media companies that they see as their real constituents.
“The EV lead in NV in 2016 was 46K in favor of the Dems. So the lead has been cut in half with EV in 2018. So why is everyone panicking?”
Because on FR:
If you lead with the early votes = OMG maybe we are peaking too soon!?!? The Dems know by how much to cheat!!!! We are getting complacent!!!
If you dont = OMG The Dems are too energized!! I hear nothing but ads for the other guy!!! It’s all over!!!
Rinse and repeat every election.
No panic here, but understand that Vegas has gone more blue since 2016 and Heller screwed up on a few things that Rosen is tainting him with - mostly health care. I have thought for sometime that he would be lucky to win.