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In Iowa, Cindy Axne(D) Leads Young (R) in District 3 Shocker
Newmax ^ | 10/29/18 | John Gizzi

Posted on 11/02/2018 8:35:59 PM PDT by Pining_4_TX

In what was clearly one of the most shocking polls to come out of Iowa this year, a New York Times/Siena College survey released over the weekend showed Democrat Cindy Axne leading Republican Rep. David Young by 43 to 41 percent in the Des Moines-based 3rd District.

Read Newsmax: In Iowa, Democrat Cindy Axne Leads David Young, 43 to 41 Percent | Newsmax.com

(Excerpt) Read more at newsmax.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Iowa
KEYWORDS: 2018election; 2018midterms; 2020election; 3rddistrict; cindyaxne; clickbait; davidyoung; election2018; election2020; ia2018; iowa; midterms; young
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To: MIA_eccl1212

Love your heartfelt scriptural prayer. May I copy it?


41 posted on 11/02/2018 9:41:57 PM PDT by Linda Frances (Woe to those who call evil good and good evil, who put darkness for light and light for darkness)
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To: Pining_4_TX

19385 calls, 504 responses, margin of error +/-4.6% Axne 43% Young 41% Undecided 11%.


42 posted on 11/02/2018 9:42:26 PM PDT by Fresh Wind (Trump: "In the meantime, I'm president and you're not!")
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To: Fresh Wind

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/upshot/elections-poll-ia03-3.html


43 posted on 11/02/2018 9:43:24 PM PDT by Fresh Wind (Trump: "In the meantime, I'm president and you're not!")
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To: Pining_4_TX

44 posted on 11/02/2018 9:48:18 PM PDT by CharlesMartelsGhost
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To: Linda Frances

DeSantis for Florida Governor,


45 posted on 11/02/2018 9:49:19 PM PDT by CharlesMartelsGhost
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To: jyo19

Nobody buys this crap
Show me one poll
Nov 6


46 posted on 11/02/2018 9:52:01 PM PDT by Truthoverpower (The guvmint you get is the Trump winning express !)
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To: Pining_4_TX

What the hell is Iowa fertilizing their corn with?


47 posted on 11/02/2018 10:06:32 PM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (#NotARussianBot)
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To: Pining_4_TX

Maybe some leftscum will stay home believing they’ve won! Us Trumpsters on the other hand WILL VOTE regardless of these flawed LSM push polls.


48 posted on 11/02/2018 10:39:13 PM PDT by piytar (If it was not for double standards, the Democrats and the left would have NO standards.)
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To: Pining_4_TX
I hope the poll is wrong, but we can't take any seat for granted, and we shouldn't give up on any seat. We have to fight for every seat. We can't be complacent and lose seats we thought were safe, or temporarily ease our stress with wishful thinking. We have to do stuff that helps us win. We should all wake up on the 7th, knowing we contributed everything we possibly could as individuals to help win, regardless of the results. We can't afford to have any regrets or excuses for not doing enough. MAGA!
49 posted on 11/02/2018 10:42:15 PM PDT by LeeClementineKenny (VOTE REPUBLICAN NOVEMBER 6, 2018! - TRUMP 2020!! - MAGA!!! - www.DonaldJTrump.com)
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To: LeeClementineKenny
Support David Young! - MAGA! - https://www.davidyoungforiowa.com/
50 posted on 11/02/2018 10:48:05 PM PDT by LeeClementineKenny (VOTE REPUBLICAN NOVEMBER 6, 2018! - TRUMP 2020!! - MAGA!!! - www.DonaldJTrump.com)
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To: Fresh Wind

It took 19,000 calls to get 504 responses? This poll is meaningless, it is self-selecting. The sample is unreliable and even the margin of error is meaningless. For even a semblance of accuracy they need to have some form of control, otherwise the sample is biased/tainted. For example who is likelier to answer a call? An unemployed or employed? A retiree or a student? Man or woman? White or non-white? And of these groups which is more likely than others to vote? When you call 19,000 times and get only 500 responses, you are basically getting demographics skewed.

Many polls adjust for such issues, based on historical data, and so they randomly strike out some responses in order to balance according to their demographic projections. Which obviously further taints the data because they cannot account for what may be motivating voters this year vs their historical models.


51 posted on 11/02/2018 10:53:44 PM PDT by monkeyshine
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To: Fresh Wind

It took 19,000 calls to get 504 responses? This poll is meaningless, it is self-selecting. The sample is unreliable and even the margin of error is meaningless. For even a semblance of accuracy they need to have some form of control, otherwise the sample is biased/tainted. For example who is likelier to answer a call? An unemployed or employed? A retiree or a student? Man or woman? White or non-white? And of these groups which is more likely than others to vote? When you call 19,000 times and get only 500 responses, you are basically getting demographics skewed.

Many polls adjust for such issues, based on historical data, and so they randomly strike out some responses in order to balance according to their demographic projections. Which obviously further taints the data because they cannot account for what may be motivating voters this year vs their historical models.


52 posted on 11/02/2018 10:53:46 PM PDT by monkeyshine
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To: Ravi

Thank you for your work.


53 posted on 11/02/2018 10:57:37 PM PDT by Robert A Cook PE (The democrats' national goal: One world social-communism under one world religion: Atheistic Islam.)
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To: monkeyshine

This is the problem with ALL of the New York Times polls.


54 posted on 11/02/2018 11:13:35 PM PDT by Fresh Wind (Trump: "In the meantime, I'm president and you're not!")
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To: max americana
If you look at the last NY Times 2016 poll, it is pretty good. They had Clinton by 3%. Ended up being Clinton by 2%.

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/five-days-to-go-the-presidential-race-tightens-cbsnyt-poll/

55 posted on 11/02/2018 11:25:22 PM PDT by Wayne07
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To: Linda Frances

I’m glad that you love God’s word. No one needs permission to take it to heart and Repeat it as often as necessary.Certainly no permissions are needed from me.


56 posted on 11/03/2018 12:18:18 AM PDT by MIA_eccl1212 (Imho)
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To: Pining_4_TX

1. Its a NySlimes poll.
2. 43 to 41 is well within the margin of error.
3. Democrats lie.

CC


57 posted on 11/03/2018 1:08:38 AM PDT by Celtic Conservative (Do you know what really burns m hy ass? A flame about 3 feet high.)
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To: CaliforniaCraftBeer

I see what you did there with that nice green check mark...


58 posted on 11/03/2018 1:36:42 AM PDT by Pikachu_Dad ("the media are selling you a line of soap)
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There has to be like a 5% to 10% of Republicans that wull not answer pollsters on anything!

That is why Democrats will be in for a SHOCK on Election night when they don't win!

59 posted on 11/03/2018 3:22:35 AM PDT by KavMan
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To: null and void

I poll democrat.. tell them I am Mary jo (kopechne). Am I really the only one? I consider it none of their darn business.. if my polling changes the way another person votes, they have no principles and shouldn’t be voting at all. If my polling discouraged anyone from voting, they have no accountability as a citizen.


60 posted on 11/03/2018 4:40:11 AM PDT by momincombatboots (How many vetoed spending dollars with chuck n Nancy without wall funding?)
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