Pretty much where I have it.
Ok, some “discussion” info. Can’t say with who, but NV GOP thinks they will not only flip NV3 but also 4 based on current good returns there.
AZ1 still in contention. AZ2 (McSally) is not.
Hearing that NO NY seat will fall (I had one going); Newt said that a “GOP bigwig” told him we’d hold 13/14 CA seats.
Yoder gone, probably Comstock and Coffman, plus three in PA and two in NJ.
That’s about it. We will old the 2 seats at risk in OH, the 2 in NC, all three in TX-—yes Sessions is on the bubble-—but a big turnout there for Abbott will help. Blum will old. Bishop will hold in MI, maybe lose Epstein, but not certain. Say we lose one FL seat. Both IL seats ok. People tell me Ru Paul’s seat in WI is safe.
So that puts me at -10, with at least +2 in MN, but maybe lose Paulsen for net +1=9.
Where do they find the other seats? If we flip even one NV seat it’s out of reach.
I hope you will be joining us here on election night, you were solely responsible for keeping many of us here off the ledges!!!
“Ok, some “discussion” info. Can’t say with who, but NV GOP thinks they will not only flip NV3 but also 4 based on current good returns there.”
FYI: Jon Ralston thinks CD4 is gone for the REPs. He thinks CD3 is in play. DEMS currently lead CD3 by less than 2% based on party registration of early voters so far.
Thanks for the heads up!