At 28.6%, he gave Trump a far higher possibility of winning than every other pollster. He was also the only one who predicted that Trump could win the electoral college without winning the popular vote.
He is also currently predicting an 82.3% chance that Republicans keep the Senate.
So no, I wouldn't panic, but I would put more stock in Nate Silver than in a lot of other pundits.
I don’t get this from all I have seen the “Blue Wave” has gotten less and less likely. Does this Rat know something?
Actually none of that is true. It is just more of Saint Nate’s propaganda. Odd how he is still mindlessly worshiped despite a very bad track record of being mostly wrong since 2012
Also would love to someone ask him why he suddenly decided to base his “analysis” on fund raising advantage now?
Seems he is changing his criteria almost weekly to find some way to keep his pro Democrat spin going for his Media masters
“He is also currently predicting an 82.3% chance that Republicans keep the Senate.”
Well if he’s saying this too it does seem there’s a chance he’s right. Scary as hell because if the Rats do get the Senate we are looking at the biggest sh*t show this country has ever seen.
IDTS
Nate is worse than a coin toss.
And there were pollsters who said POTUS would win. Just not Nate. Check out our own Larry Schweikart, Joel Pollak, the USC/LA Times tracking poll and the Investor’s Business Daily/TIPP tracking poll.
Here are a couple others: https://www.boston.com/news/politics/2016/11/10/here-are-3-people-who-correctly-predicted-donald-trump-would-win-the-election
He is an idiot. He said that Hillary had an 80% chance to win. And he said that Trump would win the popular vote and Hillary the electoral college.