Posted on 10/29/2018 9:14:14 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
Florida Democratic gubernatorial candidate Andrew Gillum, while initially coming off as a nice guy and a possible historic first as a black governor, has some problems getting to that governor's chair. He's revealed himself to be a big-city, Chicago-style politician, complete with big-city-style mayoral corruption, based on the scandals he's gotten himself embroiled in. And, well, that, along with nervous recognition of his socialist agenda, actually seems to be sinking him.
According to this inside-baseball Florida Politics blog:
A new poll of Florida gubernatorial race finds former congressman Ron DeSantis with a slim lead over Democratic rival Andrew Gillum.
The internal poll, conducted by 1892 and obtained by Florida Politics, shows DeSantis with a 1-point lead over Gillum, 47-46 percent, with third-party candidates siphoning off 2 percent and 6 percent still undecided.
Internals are always the most interesting of polls, because they are the ones the candidates themselves commission to find out how they're doing but don't release to the public. They're the least likely to be push polls designed to influence the public.
But the public polls are in the same neighborhood. Florida Politics reports that Gillum is ahead, but not by much:
A NYTimes/Siena poll released Sunday had good news for Democrat Andrew Gillum and bad news for Republican Ron DeSantis.
Gillum had a five point lead (48-43 percent), and he led in every turnout scenario except for one: an electorate that looked like 2014.
The public polls tend to overcount Democrats and get the cell phone-only users all messed up. Some are actually biased as well. Florida Politics notes that Trump has a high above-water approval rating in Florida, so it's strange that Gillum should be so far ahead. The other thing it notes is that Gillum is ahead in all voter make-up races, except if the voter make-up matches 2014
(Excerpt) Read more at americanthinker.com ...
Florida voters must have skipped the pot smoking fad and have done crack instead. Who in the world would vote for this Democrat crook, regardless of color?
Half of Florida is from NY
Bingo!! They LOVE that he is a SOCIALIST!
I never had a feeling that Gillum was really ahead. People are just now realizing what a nut case this guy is and will turn away in droves when it is known. The could be one of the factors why early voting is down among the Democrats. The more moderate ones (and independents) are reluctant to vote for Gillum. If my theory is correct, you will not see any surge toward Gillum on election day.
Well, the numbers are looking like a 2014 election!
The fact that the Communism rap didn’t do this should make your blood run cold.
Bribes are collective... people don’t start out at the $1000 range of Hamilton tickets. Which makes me feel he’s been taking bribes for a long time...
MFNJA!!!!
Make
Florida
New
Jersey
Again!!!
Gillum 2018!!
The only thing keeping Gillum afloat at this time is his skin color and top cover from the media.
“Half of Florida is from NY”
And many of them vote in both places. It’s a NYC “tradition” doncha know! Absentee ballots make this kind of vote fraud possible. We need to get back to everyone voting only on election day and only by presenting ourselves with a photo ID at our assigned polling place.
That’s a good point I hadn’t considered.
What else has he taken, from whom and for what expectations?
It’s the same with Abrams in GA. Total bats—t Marxist who’s in debt thinking she can run a state.
Dirty secret is that black Democrats are corrupt or incompetent or both. That’s not racist, that’s the fact.
I’ve never believed Gollum or Nelson were really ahead. All my contacts in my home state say no way - particularly on Gollum. He’s corrupt, Tally city government is corrupt and his socialism doesn’t go down well with Conservative North Florida not with many refugees from socialism in South Florida. He’ll do well with Blacks and with Northeastern transplants in Miami but that’s not enough.
There’s no corruption in socialism comrades, that’s the problem for him. ;)
Only because they are true.
One big factor is most don’t even know who the guy is. Nevrr heard of him. That is changing in realtime, everytime he speaks in public.
Before that, people just kinda assumed he’s somewhat OK, because he is the dem nominee. Reflex dem voters, and independent types who just dislike (but not hate) Trump are now seeing him here and there, speaking, and are getting the subtle message: Something’s off about this guy...
Gillum is tanking himself, slowly. But enough.
And turnout is key. Trump rallies coming up. The Trump Rally effect is probably good for 2-4% extra pubbie turnout election day.
I don’t think Gillum is very popular with “mainstream” Democrats. So, it’s possible that many people who would ordinarily vote the D ticket across the board will either not cast a vote for Governor or will cross the line.
In my opinion, Gillum has two major problems. There are a huge number of CCW licenses in Florida. Gillum said, (approximately), we are coming for your guns. Don’t think we’re not. That’s the first problem. The second is, he has no response other than calling any mention of his alleged crimes racism. He gives the appearance of somebody who sees money lying around and puts it in his pocket. The issues; theater tickets, unreported income, special deals to “friends,” etc. are so far petty. But there are so many of them they will be difficult to overcome.
Somebody asked why he never got indicted. I think that the things they can nail him for are so petty and unimportant in the minds of black voters that the establishment feared a Clinton-like blowback.
+1
Why any sane person in Florida would want Socialism is beyond me. People fled Cuba to get away from Socialism, they wouldn’t want to vote to bring it back
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