Ten Rating Changes as Democrats' Enthusiasm Edge Narrows and Fundraising Advantage Widens

The Cook Political Report ^ | October 23, 2018 | David Wasserman

[E. Pluribus Unum]

They’re believing their own lies again.

The red tsunami is going to push a lot of them over the edge.

[familyop]

There’s more information behind the link about particular districts. Sorry, I didn’t quite catch it all.

[familyop]

That was linked from the Drudge Report, BTW.

[KC_Conspirator]

There is nothing to base Cook’s predictions on other than a good quarter of fundrasing.

[Williams]

I read a lot of it, doesn’t mean democrats will win, just that some races are leaning one way or another, and then if you split the toss ups, etc. That’s not very definitive.

[familyop]

Armies of lawyers are mobilizing to keep an eye on chaos at the polls
https://www.mcclatchydc.com/news/politics-government/election/midterms/article220481405.html

[Gahanna Bob]

People are sick of political ads. Late TV ads aren’t going to change any minds this year. It just buys favorable coverage for Dems as the MSM is the DNC.

[metmom]

But Republicans' numbers continue to improve in Trump-won districts in places like rural Minnesota, Upstate New York and Downstate Illinois.

Oh, PLEASE, God. Let it be so.

[Zhang Fei]

Cook predicted a 2016 GOP loss of 5 to 7 Senate seats. The GOP lost 2.
https://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2016/12/the-worst-political-predictions-of-2016-214555

[SoFloFreeper]

Larry noted earlier that Cook has moved EIGHT districts toward the Demon Rat party.

I smell Zogby sauce.

[familyop]

"I read a lot of it, doesn’t mean democrats will win, just that some races are leaning one way or another, and then if you split the toss ups, etc. That’s not very definitive."

I agree. It all depends on whether or not many Republicans show up to vote, mainly in quite a few blue state districts. If they expect President Trump to do everything without a friendly House of Representatives, we'll lose.

But if more Republicans get control over their emotions enough to momentarily forget their fringe issues and start cheerleading now enough to get a big vote out, we'll win big time.

It's not about the way a candidate looks or whether or not he or she arouses hormonal responses in voters. It's about how a candidate will vote on the House floor: either for or against our President.

[EarlyBird]

However, Democrats' staggering success in third quarter fundraising reports injects some last-minute uncertainty.

And what is this money used for? Mostly TV ads and annoying mailers. Who listens to these TV ads or reads these mailers anymore?

And GOTV efforts are pretty much ineffective at this stage. I mean who is going to change their vote now because someone called them or knocked on the their door?

Sorry Dems, money ain’t gonna buy your elections this time!

[hardspunned]

The Mob fundraising comes from Hollywood and a few anti American billionaires. It will not be reflected in vote totals. What money Republicans receive come from millions of individuals each one armed with a vote.

[familyop]

"People are sick of political ads. Late TV ads aren’t going to change any minds this year."

Then, here's the curse for them. May the spoiled rotten ones suffer for the rest of their unnatural lives in slavery.

“Toute nation a le gouvernement qu’elle mérite” (”Every nation gets the government it deserves”) —Joseph de Maistre, 1857

[KC_Conspirator]

The Cook political report HAD an AWFUL prediction record in 2016. Why its the NY Slimes, CBS, and the Wash swamps favorite report!

[georgiarat]

I agree! A major problem we have in AZ is that those who supported Kelli Ward and Joe say they can’t vote for McSally. I get so angry at them sometimes because they cannot see Trump needs help!

[Zhang Fei]

The GOP will likely lose some House seats because the elimination of a substantial chunk of the SALT deduction will cost a number of high-income taxpayers. But I think there’s a better than even chance that it will hold the House, thanks to a combo of working class pay hikes and the Kavanaugh hearings. Upper middle income taxpayers will be out in force. But there are many more working class folks benefiting from wage growth at the bottom end of the pay scale. In time, we will hopefully be able to call the latter Trump Democrats.

[Williams]

My guess would be republicans are going to vote, blacks and Hispanics aren’t that motivated to turn out, equals republicans do well. Florida at risk because blacks will turn out for Gillum.

[familyop]

I’m just saying that voters should think long and hard about this election and vote Republican. Our lives depend on this one. We can put some of the entertainment off for a few weeks.