Something that might be interesting is the turnout in these prior races to gauge what’s happening Election Day. Any swing by either party would be consequential. I’m thinking of Ohio-12 Special when Dems matched 2016 general and we were 40%.
I agree. We lost specials because R voters stayed not home not because they went and voted for the D. If we can keep our turnout like 2016, we SHOULD be able to match the results.