I heard the 50% number from another source, just not sure which. But as you said 47% is very good. What they don’t report on those numbers are the “undecided”. What I’m getting at is if it’s 38% unfavorable to 47% favorable, you can pretty much break the undecideds by the same proportion and that gets you over 50%. Or follow the Larry Elder “Elvis” rule, that 7% of the people think Elvis is alive and would read your letter if you wrote him... you have a hard time getting to 50% when 7% are just plain whack.
I heard today that GOP early voting is leading in most states. I bet the Democrats didn’t expect that when they pushed for it. Next they’ll want year-round voting! Everything they do to change precedent comes back to bite them politically. I cannot honestly believe that the people would give them control of the Congress, either house, at this point. They are out of sync with the country right now, and they are pressing their bet again and again. But as I said above, per Tip O’Neil, all politics is local. It comes down to the way the wind blows in each individual district.
This could be an important indicator because as long as there has been early voting, 'Rats generally get more of their people to the polls and boast about these statistics in an effort to create a "snowballing" effect. But I haven't been hearing much about early voting this year. Guessing that MSM wouldn't tell you much about any news unfavorable to their buddies.
Of course the 'Rats pushed for early voting, because it offers more opportunities for cheating than the traditional system where everyone (except for absentees) votes on the same day. But with decreased support and increased desperation, just about all tactics that they have used in the past and/or are using currently are backfiring on them. Couldn't happen to more deserving bunch of pigs.