A dose of reality to counter the media’s wishful thinking propaganda.
I am in a district in Alabama that is republican for sure. I will be voting because it’s important that we send a message to the democrats, the media, and everyone else. We support President Trump and we disapprove of the extremist democrat agenda.
Not even Putin Facebook ads can save the Dims at this point!
Oh my.
The Blue Wave is about to be crushed by Red Wave Patriots!
So Democrats are ‘Over Preforming’ in Blue areas - This suggests the RATs will again cry loudly about ‘Gerrymandering’ when this election is over.
Thanks for posting. Mr. NEMDF told me this morning that he heard that the DNC has pulled advertising money for their local person running for Congress, since she has no chance.
WINNING
Funny how these clown spew their anti republican BS up until a few days before the election. Now they have to cover their rear ends by bringing some real numbers into play. They aren’t fooling many people other than other “dumb as rocks” democrat morons.
Unfortunately, the article doesn't list the poll internals.
Personally, I see nothing in the news which would reverse this trend.
I expect over the next 15 days the Republican percent will increase and the Dim percent will decrease.
The Real Clear Politics method of averaging polls is suspect. Garbage polls are included in their averaging.
Some of you (many of you) live and die by the latest poll, elevating your hopes or dashing them with each new utterance. After the last general election results destroyed so many pollster’s methodology I would believe that media organs would shy away from them. But, no, they have to fill their newscasts somehow and what better way than to breathlessly announce that so and so has fallen behind or it’s too close to call when in fact the margin of error on some polls in as much as 5% either way!
Voting has already started.
Polls are useless now.
The few new polls show a GOP trend. In competitive districts, the outcome is more likely to match the results in 2014 and 2016, again an advantage to the GOP. This is not going to be a Blue Wave election, it is going to be a status quo election and since most of the toss up races are GOP districts, expect that the GOP will win most of those races.
My prediction takes a look at polls, but discounts the polls more than 30 days old. I look at the results in that district in 2014 and 2016, and I look at the incumbent. Incumbency counts and the incumbent will win 98% of their races. With that in mind, my prediction as of this morning is GOP 218 Dem 205 with 12 races toss up. Those race will split 6 - 6. The Republicans will have a 6 vote advantage in the new House. Disclaimer: I am not a professional politician or a pundit. I live on a hobby farm in Kansas, I haven’t been to Washington for several years. I have a dog who has a great track record on these sort of things.
Good news, but keep in mind that most of the “competitive districts” are now held by Republicans, so they have more to lose, just as the Dems have more to lose in the Senate.
That means we need our fellow conservatives to show up in numbers.
Blue wave? These races are going to break for us and we hold the House!