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To: Dave W; LS

I’m exercising serious self control here to be nice. I’m trying to be less contentious on the Internet these days, but some people’s attitudes just make that a chore sometimes.

Please search this guy’s posts at FR. Read his Twitter feed. It has the best analysis of REAL DATA you can find on the Internet. Polls aren’t real data.

He’s using the same data we used in 2016 to handicap this election. Remember the polls then? There wasn’t any indication of winning OH in 16 either if one went by polls. Yet, the same data LS is using here was used to confidently predict a Trump win. Was it ‘wishful thinking’ then?


48 posted on 10/22/2018 11:08:50 AM PDT by perfect_rovian_storm
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To: perfect_rovian_storm; Dave W

I would add, I was telling Trump via Bannon to GET OUT of Ohio, because it was won by mid October. Our #s showed a 4-5 point win . . . We were low. It as 9+.

Now, today, the Cuyahoga absentees/ early voting coming in and Ds down 11% Rs “surging” according to the Cleveland Plain Dealer (a D paper). If Ds don’t totally dominate OH out of Cuyahoga, they are finished.


49 posted on 10/22/2018 12:16:00 PM PDT by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: perfect_rovian_storm
Well, thanks for the self control. I tend to have that effect on others from time to time.

I tried Twitter and excuse my ignorance, but I tried searching on LS and got the Mormon church. #S was no better. Any hints as to how to follow LS' twitter feed? Thank you.

50 posted on 10/22/2018 1:25:05 PM PDT by Dave W
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