I’m exercising serious self control here to be nice. I’m trying to be less contentious on the Internet these days, but some people’s attitudes just make that a chore sometimes.
Please search this guy’s posts at FR. Read his Twitter feed. It has the best analysis of REAL DATA you can find on the Internet. Polls aren’t real data.
He’s using the same data we used in 2016 to handicap this election. Remember the polls then? There wasn’t any indication of winning OH in 16 either if one went by polls. Yet, the same data LS is using here was used to confidently predict a Trump win. Was it ‘wishful thinking’ then?
I would add, I was telling Trump via Bannon to GET OUT of Ohio, because it was won by mid October. Our #s showed a 4-5 point win . . . We were low. It as 9+.
Now, today, the Cuyahoga absentees/ early voting coming in and Ds down 11% Rs “surging” according to the Cleveland Plain Dealer (a D paper). If Ds don’t totally dominate OH out of Cuyahoga, they are finished.
I tried Twitter and excuse my ignorance, but I tried searching on LS and got the Mormon church. #S was no better. Any hints as to how to follow LS' twitter feed? Thank you.