There are two “independent” candidates running for governor in Maine. Which candidate are you referring to?
“Independent” candidate Terry Hayes seems rather liberal.... she wants “universal healthcare” and extreme environmental laws. Seems like she would pull votes from dem Attorney General and gubernatorial candidate Janet Mills.
I think you’re right about Hayes. But her ads make her look like a moderate, and she’ll probably get 7-10% of the low information independent voter who votes independent because it feels good to do so.
The results are going to be close. LePage won in 2014 by 4.5%. Trump/Johnson combined I believe got 50% of the vote in 2016. The question is which side is better organized and motivated. The absentee numbers that are on the Maine elections site will tell us all this. The early voting I think goes till the Thursday before election day. We’ll know then how these races stand.