it appears lake Travis has crested at 704.39 feet and is now falling at a decent clip the past 30 minutes as the lower outflows form the buchanan gate closing move in..
...the new models continue the trend of the heavy rainfall falling just south of the basin next week
after that a much more dry overall pattern for Texas
the next 10 days or more
As Luck had it...the first two heavy rain events (post deluge) missed the basin and the same may be true next week too
alot can change the next few days though but it looks like Basin average rainfall may be only an inch or so (more south/ less northwest) next week and almost zero the week after that..those amounts will just slow the fall rather the incerease lake levels
Hopefully the lake can drop to around 680-685 feet by the end of the month before the projected wet pattern sets in later this year.. The lake was at 666 Ft before the deluge
LCRA about 8-12 hours behind live “real time” like usual about the lake level
models have increased rainfall amounts some now 1-2 inches across the basin
but then a long dry period..but sign of an active pattern again in early November...
Mansfield Dam / Lake Travis
LCRA:
Lake Travis reached a peak level of 704.39 on Saturday, October 20. Based on current conditions, LCRA now projects that Lake Travis will slowly fall in a range of 704 to 702 feet above mean sea level today and Monday. Those projections could change if additional rain falls in the lower Colorado River basin.