That has been my thought ever since Ocasio-Cortez came on the scene. The analogy I used was a shooting star that momentarily lit up the skies and then burned out.
My thinking was that the few remaining sane Democrats in the DNC are not going to let their boy, with 20 years seniority in the game (and all those choice assignments) be replaced witha rookie with no power at all. That, and the fact that he has 20 years worth of IOUs to call in from his local constituency, makes him a prime contender.
As much as I'd like to see an incumbent wiped out, I don't think it will happen.
But, strange to say, we have seen ZERO polls of the real race (Crowley as a near-Communist-socialist party vs Ocasio-Cortez on the democrat ticket.)
Hundreds of lines of text and TV hours for Ocasio-Cortez nationwide. But nothing of her chances in her own district. She might be defeated here - if the ballot is written for Crowley on the NWP (?) Party as the “Incompetent” (er, Incumbent).