[Tanniker Smith]

He's got about 39% approval among AA voters. If only half that turn out to support him, the Dems are doomed.

Basically, the Democrats need black voters to turn out in the first place (in the absence of Obama running) and then vote for their guy. So, if it isn't Booker, I'm not sure how they'll do that.

[Dave W]

I don't think the AA support (which I don't necessarily believe) translates to the republican party as a whole. They may vote for Trump in 2020 in greater numbers, but I don't think that applies to a congressional race.

The last time 33% of blacks voted for a republican was in 1960 and that was for Nixon against Kennedy. Then there was the civil rights bill and it has been 90%+ black vote for dems ever since.

Blacks will never vote in such high numbers for pubs ever again. The cultural taboo is too high amongst blacks. But every percent helps. I would love to be wrong.

[jocon307]

“He’s got about 39% approval among AA voters. If only half that turn out to support him, the Dems are doomed.” DOOMED.

And, inertia being what it is, if even half these hypothetical AA R voters still vote R, for even on or two elections post-trump, they are doomed permanently.

So, I think we can expect to see a Black candidate for Pres, or at least VP in 2020. Kamala Harris, anyone? Top or bottom of the ticket?

Cory Booker’s a moron, I don’t think even the Dems are that dumb, but we’ll see.