Competitive Open Seats
District
Kan. 2 L. Jenkins (R) R+18 Lean Rep.
Minn. 8 R. Nolan (D) R+16 Tossup
Minn. 1 T. Walz (D) R+15 Tossup
Mich. 11 D. Trott (R) R+4 Tossup
N.J. 11 R. Frelinghuysen (R) R+1 Tossup
Wash. 8 D. Reichert (R) D+3 Tossup
Calif. 39 E. Royce (R) D+9 Tossup
N.J. 2 F. LoBiondo (R) R+5 Lean Dem.
N.H. 1 C. Shea-Porter (D) R+2 Lean Dem.
Nev. 3 J. Rosen (D) R+1 Lean Dem.
Pa. 7* C. Dent (R) D+1 Lean Dem.
Ariz. 2 M. McSally (R) D+5 Lean Dem.
Nev. 4 R. Kihuen (D) D+5 Lean Dem.
Calif. 49 D. Issa (R) D+8 Lean Dem.
Fla. 27 I. Ros-Lehtinen (R) D+20 Lean Dem.
If they tell me it is raining I'll want a second, unbiased opinion.
This appears to be an interesting poll. Real time and tracking along with geo-location very nice use of technology. I like the tracking polls I figure even if there is a bias I can see the trend - guestimating the bias and using the trend works pretty well in terms of predicting the outcome. Scanning through these polls I’m more confident the republicans hold the house.
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BS!
There are 3 of the lean Dem I have us winning: Porter Shay, Dent, and FL27. I think Rs are up in all three.
Actually, AZ 2 is supposed to be Kirkpatrick (D) 50 to Peterson (R) 39. I’d believe it. I’ve actually heard Kirkpatrick’s name. I had to do an Internet search to discover Lea Peterson is the Republican trying to replace McSally. I’ve never seen a sign, heard an ad, anything!
Peterson’s only hope is for enough people like me who will simply vote for the (R).