I think you will find the same situation in Texas with Cruz...he’ll collect three to four points.
My guess is, the net average out of The repugnant Kavanaugh stuff is likely to be 4-5 points in statewide polls. Higher in red states where 8 points seems to the theme, lower in blue/purple states 1-3
The apathetic right and more importantly middle have been awakened and are NOT happy with the D’s no matter what the media is telling you.
I know the D’s somehow think the fustercluck they just created is going to gain them suburban districts because they think it will swing women their way... but I just don’t see it. Every woman I have spoken to or overheard on this matter regardless of affiliation. (With the exception of the radilcal left ones) didn’t buy thei D’s circus at all... and are angry at them.
They lost any shot at the house IMHO, no matter what the media spin is. GOTV.. the Democrats cannot be rewarded for what they have done... not at any level.
If Cruz wins by less than double digits, I’ll be sorely disappointed.