We can only lose one vote. Flake and Collins are a no. We dont have the votes.
I actually think she is a yes. She spoke before Swetnick went public yesterday - it didn’t go well for her there.
We can pick up RED state RATS and there are a LOT of back room deal going on. GOP would potentially sacrifice a potential GOP pick up to get that crossover vote and confirm Kavanaugh in exchange for throwing cover to a RAT to use as a campaign advert and take their chances. With the recent polls coming out, a LOT of red state RATS are taking GOP phone calls to discuss. M2C.