Equally important: got word that Coffman (CO) is now tied in his internals. This was a house seat most chalked up as a loss, and now some polls saying Comstock (VA) will hang on (ditto). FL27 a dead heat (that was another sure loss). The R thought to be in trouble in NC now up; OH Rs all safe; TX Rs all safe; Hunter (CA) up in his race. Rossi (WA) leading in his internals.
So I keep asking, where are the Ds gonna find 23 flips in the House? Right now, I have them with 9, and I’m being generous. We have 2 D-R flips in MN, with a possibility of a 3rd. FL 7 just saw the D candidate die (!). No word on McSally’s seat, so that could turn out not to be a flip at all, and NV4 is close.
I have us as -3 in PA, -1 in IA, -1 in NY (but that’s Tenney’s seat and she’s in a deep red district); -1 in CA (Could go -2, but could actually flip one in CA and go +1 there); and Bishop in MI. That’s it.
I just don’t see 23 flips. Not even close. Max I can get to allowing the Ds the tossups is about 14.
All of your polls show Kav blowback is destroying Democrat support. That and the great economic news.
I think we need another week or two for the FBI to expose all the liars and confirm Kav a week or two before the midterms.
Democrats behind the scenes are already moving to end the bleeding. Look for some of the fence sitters to announce their support for Kavanaugh. Dems won’t survive another week or two of this.
Look for Republicans to say that the new claims (car gang rape) need to be “fully investigated.”
But Texas is a goner for sure. It was always a goner. Trump lost Texas. Texas is blue.... I tell you again, Texas is blue. I know this for a fact. I polled some students at a bar in Austin and they all said F’Trump.